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美国收益率持续攀升,刺激美元需求

市场须知 在美国国债收益率飙升和美联储(fed)加息预期的推动下,美元继续走强。包括美国核心耐用品订单强劲上升在内的近期数据进一步巩固了美元的地位。相比之下,受收益率上升和美元走强的压力,金价跌至6个半月低点。另外,尽管美元走强,但由于EIA库存数据看涨,油价飙升。道琼斯指数面临美国国债收益率飙升的阻力,而英镑的下跌反映出英国经济前景黯淡。澳元兑美元和日元仍然受到美元主导地位的控制。 市场看点 当前对 11 月 1 日美联储利率决定的加息押注: Source: CME Fedwatch Tool 0个基点 (78.0%) 对比 25 个基点 (22%)  市场概括 财经日历 市场走势 美元指数, H4 受美国国债收益率持续飙升的提振,美元延续涨幅。美国10年收益率最近达到了自2007年7月高水平,显示投资者仍然倾向于美联储加息政策。此外,强劲的经济指标进一步鼓励了美元的升值。美国人口普查局(Census Bureau)公布的数据显示,美国核心耐用品订单(Core耐用品订单)出现了令人印象深刻的增长,从0.10%大幅上升至0.40%,超出了市场预期。 美元指数走高,目前正在测试阻力位。然而,MACD指标显示看涨势头减弱,而相对强弱指数在77,暗示该指数可能进入超买区域。 阻力位:106.95,108.65 支撑位:105.25,103.15 黄金/美元,H4 金价在突破每盎司1900美元的重要心理支撑位后,跌至六个半月低点。这种螺旋式下降主要归因于美国国债收益率的持续飙升和美元的强势所照成。 黄金价格正在走低,目前正在测试支撑位。然而,MACD指标显示看跌动能减弱,相对强弱指数在28,暗示该商品可能进入超卖区域。 阻力位:1885.00,1900.00 支撑位:1875.00,1855.00 英镑/美元,H4 受悲观的经济预测拖累,英镑一直处于下行趋势。专家预计,英国的经济困境,加上持续的通货膨胀和劳动力短缺,将导致2023年和2024年的经济收缩。与之形成鲜明对比的是,欧元区和美国在这段时期似乎保持了增长。英国暗淡的经济前景预计将继续打击英镑的价值。 英镑兑美元 (GBP/USD) 跌破支撑,正在走低。然而,MACD指标显示看涨势头增强,而相对强弱指数在77,表明该货币对可能进入超卖区域。 阻力位:1.2190,1.2370 支撑位:1.2040,1.1935 澳币/美元,H4 随着美元近期持续走强,澳元兑美元 (AUDUSD) 惨遭打压。投资者正在密切关注澳大利亚储备银行(RBA)即将做出的货币政策决定。消费者价格指数(CPI)持续高企,远高于澳大利亚央行2% -3%的目标范围,这表明央行可能会保持强硬立场。 澳元兑美元 (AUDUSD) 突破之前的支撑位之后,正在走低。然而,MACD指标显示看跌势头正在减弱,而相对强弱指数在32,表明该货币对可能进入超卖区域。 阻力位:0.6395,0.6510 支撑位:0.6285,0.6205 道指, H4 …

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美联储鹰派立场打击股市

市场须知 美元依然坚守在​​105美元关口之上,而近期美联储主席讲话后国内股市则经历了动荡。投资者努力应对美联储信息的影响,导致股市前景看跌。美国长期国债收益率飙升至2007年的水平,表明市场对明年利率持续走高的预期。此外,美国首次申请失业救济人数数据显示劳动力市场强劲,申请失业救济人数达到一月份以来的最低点。这一数据进一步支撑了美联储的鹰派立场。与此同时,日本CPI指数好于预期,连续17个月维持在日本央行目标水平之上。市场观察人士等待日本央行将于今天发布的货币政策声明,以评估其对日元走强的影响。 市场看点 当前对 11 月 1 日美联储利率决定的加息押注: Source: CME Fedwatch Tool 0个基点 (93.0%) 对比 25 个基点 (7.0%)  市场概括 财经日历 市场走势 美元指数, H4 美元在触及近期高点后,因投资者利用近期收益获利而小幅回调。然而,在美国国债收益率上升和美联储(fed)进一步收紧货币政策的预期的推动下,美元的长期前景倾向于看涨。此外,首次申请失业救济人数意外下降9%,创8个月新低,表明美国就业部门恢复了活力,进一步支撑了美元的地位。 美元指数持平,目前正在测试阻力位。MACD指标显示看涨动能减弱,而相对强弱指数在57,暗示该指数可能经历技术性回调,因相对强弱指数从超买区域大幅回落。 阻力位:105.40,106.25 支撑位:104.25,103.05 黄金/美元,H4 在美元走强和美国就业数据强劲的推动下,金价在突破关键支撑位后继续下跌。这些因素继续助长了黄金价格的持续抛售,削弱了其避险吸引力。 黄金价格跌破支撑,延续跌幅。MACD已显示出不断增强的看跌势头,而RSI位于47,这表明大宗商品可能会向支撑位扩大损失。 阻力位:1930.00,1950.00 支撑位:1900.00,1885.00 欧元/美元, H4 欧元仍面临美元复苏的压力,徘徊在突破附近支撑位1.0638的边缘。继周三联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)声明之后,美国国债收益率飙升至2007年以来的最高点。这一飙升反映了市场对美联储在未来一年内将利率维持在限制性水平的预期。此外,近期公布的初请失业金数据凸显了美国劳动力市场的强劲,为美元走强提供了进一步动力。 欧元/美元正努力保持在接近支撑位1.0638之上;跌破该货币对将成为坚实的看跌信号。 MACD 一直在零线下方流动,而 RSI 徘徊在 50 水平附近,表明该货币对出现中性看跌信号。 阻力位:1.0700、1.0760 支撑位:1.0640 – 1.0540 英镑/美元,H4 在英国央行出人意料地决定维持利率不变之后,英镑兑美元 (GBP/USD) 继续下滑,这标志着自2021年12月以来连续14次加息的结束。央行的关键利率保持在5.25%,货币政策委员会的五名成员投票赞成保持不变,四名成员主张将利率提高到5.50%。在做出这一决定之前,有越来越多的迹象表明,英国经济正徘徊在衰退的边缘。 英镑兑美元 (GBP/USD) …

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日央行可能调整货币政策,日元走强

市场须知 日本央行(BoJ)行长上田周末发表的强硬言论推动亚洲早盘日元走强。上田提到,日本央行可能会在年底前获得足够的数据来评估日本的工资增长和通胀是否持续上升。与此同时,美元表现出显着的强势,连续8周上涨,这是自2005年以来从未有过的走势。这种强势得益于美国经济数据的弹性,这增强了人们对美联储进一步加息的预期。预订。然而,强势美元给金价和股市带来压力。与此同时,由于对石油供应减少的担忧,油价保持稳定,徘徊在 87 美元附近。 市场看点 当前对 9 月 20 日美联储利率决定的加息押注: Source: CME Fedwatch Tool 0个基点 (93.0%) 对比 25 个基点 (7.0%)  市场概括 财经日历 市场走势 美元指数, H4 美元继续保持看涨势头,投资者目前急切地等待即将到来的通胀数据。美元保持稳定走势,显示出反弹的迹象,尤其是在近期就业数据公布后,为美国经济前景提供了积极情绪,但并且提高了投资者对美联储大举升息以对抗通胀的担忧。 美元指数延续涨势,目前测试阻力位。然而,MACD指标显示看跌势头增强,而相对强弱指数在55,暗示该指数可能经历技术性回调,因相对强弱指数从超买区域大幅回落。 阻力位:105.25,106.25 支撑位:104.25,103.05 黄金/美元,H4 黄金价格小幅回落,美国积极的经济数据促使投资者抛售黄金等的避险产品。另外,部分投资者仍然预计美联储(fed)有望延续紧缩政策,从而打压黄金价值。然而,就像其他重要的美元计价资产一样,由于对关键通胀报告的预期,预计黄金市场将保持低迷。 黄金价格从阻力位回撤后开始走低。MACD指标显示看涨势头减弱,而相对强弱指数在42,暗示该商品可能会延续跌势,因为相对强弱指数仍低于中线。 阻力位:1925.00,1935.00 支撑位:1910.00,1895.80 欧元/美元, H4 欧元一直处于熊市趋势,主要是受到美元走强而影响。市场参与者担心即将到来的通胀数据,纷纷在美元这个避风港寻求庇护。与其他一些央行不同,欧洲央行(ECB)预计将在即将召开的政策会议上维持利率不变。这主要是由于令人沮丧的经济数据,包括欧元区GDP数据低于市场预期,使人们对欧洲央行近期加息的可能性产生怀疑。 欧元兑美元下跌,目前正在测试支撑位。然而,MACD指标显示看跌势头正在减弱,而相对强弱指数在35,表明该货币对可能进入超卖区域。 阻力位:1.0970,1.1235 支撑位:1.0690,1.0540 英镑/美元,H4 本周伊始,英镑(GBP)小幅上涨,主要归因于美元(USD)走强。美元指数连续8周上涨,保持强劲看涨趋势。相比之下,英国经济表现不佳,阻碍了英镑反弹。投资者焦点将集中在周三,届时英国将发布国内生产总值(GDP)数据,随后将发布美国消费者价格指数(CPI)。预计这两项经济数据的发布将对英镑/美元货币对的走势产生直接影响。 英镑盘整并显示出摆脱低迷趋势的迹象。 RSi 也从 30 水平小幅反弹,而 MACD 已经交叉,表明看跌势头已经减弱。 阻力位:1.2540, 1.2640 支撑位:1.2460, …

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Differences Between Indices Trading and Forex Trading

What Are Indices Trading And Forex Trading Indices trading and forex trading are both types of financial trading, but they involve different assets and markets. Forex trading, on the other hand, involves buying and selling currencies which involves forex traders speculating on the future movement of one currency against another.  Indices trading, …

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Understanding Fundamental Forex Trading Basics

Content: What Is Forex Or The Foreign Exchange?Example Of Forex TradingWhen Is Forex Traded?What Are Quotes In Forex Trading?How Do You Read A Forex Quote?Understanding What Is A Pip And A LotExplaining The Bid, Ask And Spread In Forex TradingWhat Does It Mean To Go Long Or Short In Forex TradingWhat Is …

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美元因美联储意向走强

市场须知 由于市场预期美联储将进一步收紧货币政策,美元指数一直稳定在 105 美元附近波动。美债短期收益率已突破5%,美联储强硬立场令华尔街面临下行压力。相反,由于投机者挑战日本当局对日元贬值的容忍度,日元依然疲软。策略师表示,在日元兑美元汇率跌至 150 关口之前,日本央行 (BoJ) 可能不会进行干预。与此同时,油价不顾美元走强的影响,继续稳步攀升。 API的每周原油报告显示美国石油需求前景乐观,石油库存下降幅度大于预期。 市场看点 当前对 9 月 20 日美联储利率决定的加息押注: Source: CME Fedwatch Tool 0个基点 (93.0%) 对比 25 个基点 (7.0%)  市场概括 财经日历 市场走势 市场走势 美元指数, H4 积极的经济数据促使美元强势反弹,达到六个月高点。推动这一增长的是服务业的显著表现,新订单激增,企业支付更高的价格。这一飙升表明,通胀压力持续存在,美国经济正在显示出韧性。美国供应管理协会(ISM)公布了一个积极的惊喜,美国供应管理协会非制造业采购经理人指数(PMI)大幅上升。该指数从52.7飙升至54.5,超过了52.5的市场预期。 美元指数在突破前一阻力位后延续涨势。然而,MACD指标显示看涨势头减弱,而相对强弱指数在69,暗示该指数可能进入超买区域。 阻力位:105.25,106.25 支撑位:104.25,103.05 黄金/美元,H4 黄金价格持续下跌,这主要是对好于预期的ISM非制造业数据的回应。投资者仍在观望,急切期待美联储(fed)发表更多见解,尤其是即将发表的几次货币政策委员会讲话。该言词将为央行的决策提供关键线索,影响黄金和其他资产近期的前景。 黄金价格从阻力位回撤后开始走低。然而,MACD指标显示看跌势头减弱,而相对强弱指数在31,暗示该商品可能进入超卖区域。 阻力位:1925.00,1935.00 支撑位:1910.00,1895.80 欧元/美元, H4 就在今天重要的欧元区 GDP 数据发布之前,欧元近期的低迷表现有所缓解。昨日欧元兑美元强势维持在1.0700附近,预期GDP数据将超出预期,为欧洲央行的鹰派政策立场提供支持。 欧元/美元已摆脱看跌趋势,并在 1.0700 上方盘整。 MACD 即将在底部交叉,而 RSI 已爬出超卖区域,表明该货币对可能出现趋势逆转。 …

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欧佩克延长减产,油价上扬

市场须知 美元指数飙升至3月份以来的最高水平,而道琼斯指数连续第三个交易日收低。多位美联储理事在9月19日美联储会议之前表示支持加息,立场更加鹰派,提振了美元。尽管美元走强,这反过来又给金价带来压力。相比之下,油价已攀升至86美元大关之上。这一增长正值全球最大的石油卡特尔欧佩克+将石油供应限制延长至年底之际,这表明将继续努力稳定市场。其他方面,澳元从近期的低迷走势中获得了一些喘息的机会。澳大利亚GDP数据略好于市场共识,尽管较之前的数据有所下降。 市场看点 当前对 9 月 20 日美联储利率决定的加息押注: Source: CME Fedwatch Tool 0个基点 (93.0%) 对比 25 个基点 (7.0%)  市场概括 财经日历 市场走势 美元指数, H4 得益于美国国债收益率上升和美国国内潜在的经济弹性,美元继续保持看涨轨迹。市场人士正密切关注美联储(fed)在即将发表的声明中可能会采取更强硬的语气的预期,在全球经济不确定的情况下,这将进一步放大美元作为避险资产的吸引力。 美元指数在突破阻力位后延续涨势。然而,MACD指标显示看涨势头减弱,而相对强弱指数在62,暗示该指数可能因技术修正而走低,因为相对强弱指数已从超买区域回落。 阻力位:105.25,106.25 支撑位:104.25,103.05 黄金/美元,H4 黄金价格大幅下跌,呼应了美国国债收益率的上升和美元的坚挺。美元持续走高,受到美国国债收益率飙升和美国经济基本面强劲的支撑。 黄金价格从阻力位回撤后开始走低。MACD指标显示看跌势头增强,而相对强弱指数在35,暗示该商品可能将跌势扩大至支撑位。 阻力位:1945.00,1970.00 支撑位:1920.00,1900.00 欧元/美元, H4 随着美元在美联储官员鹰派言论的推动下走强,欧元持续下跌。包括克里斯托弗·沃勒(Christopher Waller)和克利夫兰联储主席洛雷塔·梅斯特(Loretta Mester)在内的美联储理事正在推动进一步加息,反映出美国经济能够承受更高利率的观点。苦苦挣扎的欧元现在正急切地等待将于周四公布的欧元区GDP数据,希望它能成为潜在反弹的催化剂。 欧元/美元继续走低,并接近另一个支撑位 1.0700。 RSI 已进入超卖区域,而 MACD 继续下滑,表明该货币对处于强劲的看跌势头中。 阻力位: 1.0760,1.0850 支撑位:1.0700, 1.0640 澳币/美元,H4 澳大利亚储备银行(RBA)在9月份的政策会议上选择连续第三个月保持利率稳定。澳大利亚央行将基准利率维持在4.10%。这一决定源于这样一种信念,即最近的经济数据与央行将通胀控制在2-3%的目标范围内的目标一致。因此,在这一消息公布后,澳元经历了有节制的回落。 澳元兑美元 (AUD/USD) 在低位交易,目前正在测试支撑位。MACD指标显示看涨势头正在减弱,而相对强弱指数位于35,表明该货币对在突破支撑位下方后可能会扩大跌势。 …

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英国通胀下降,英镑疲软

市场须知 昨晚,随着英国和欧元区CPI数据公布,美元指数突破100美元;英镑大幅下跌近1%,欧元也出现小幅下跌。 CPI数据表明这些地区的通胀正显示出放缓的迹象。与此同时,由于零售销售和工业生产数据低于预期等经济数据令人失望,美元继续面临压力。另一方面,彭博社的经济学家预测,日本央行不太可能在不久的将来对其货币政策进行任何调整。然而,他们表示,十月现在正成为日本央行采取行动的最有可能的月份。其他方面,油价受到美元小幅走强和获利了结活动的影响。这是在美国原油库存下降之后发生的,但降幅没有预期那么大。 市场看点 当前对 7 月 26 日美联储利率决定的加息押注: Source: CME Fedwatch Tool 0个基点 (1%) 对比 25 个基点 (99%)   市场概括 财经日历 市场走势 美元指数, H4 在英国发布悲观的通胀报告后,衡量美元兑六种主要货币的美元指数出现了小幅回升。结果,英镑暴跌1.30%,创下四个多月来的最大单日跌幅。投资者青睐美元,在联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)利率决定公布前,美国国债上涨提振了美元。目前情况,投资者该密切关注美联储的货币政策声明,以寻找进一步的交易信号。 美元指数跌破支撑位之后走低。然而,MACD指标显示看跌动能减弱,而相对强弱指数在33,暗示该指数可能进入超卖区域。 阻力位:101.45,104.25 支撑位:98.70,94.75 黄金/美元,H1 受益于美国通胀压力放缓,金价继续在积极轨道上徘徊。疲软的美元促使投资者青睐以美元计价的黄金。美国令人失望的经济数据,以及对美联储(fed)将采取更温和立场的猜测,导致美国国债收益率走向负值。投资者正密切关注联邦公开市场委员会的利率决定,以评估金价可能进一步的走势。 黄金价格走势持平,目前接近阻力位。MACD指标显示看跌动能减弱,而相对强弱指数在56,暗示金价可能会走高,因相对强弱指数保持在中线上方。 阻力位:1985.00,2000.00 支撑位:1970.00,1950.00 欧元/美元, H4 昨晚,欧元在欧洲CPI数据公布后呈现横盘格局,小幅下跌。 CPI数据显示欧洲通胀率出现放缓迹象,从此前的6.1%降至5.5%。市场已经预料到了这一结果,因此也已经纳入了投资者的预期,导致欧元对的影响有限。尽管CPI数据温和,但市场仍预计下周欧洲央行(ECB)宣布利率决定时将加息25个基点。这种预期可能会在短期内继续影响市场情绪。 上周美国通胀数据公布后,欧元/美元大幅飙升,过去一周一直横盘整理。尽管该货币对仍交投于移动平均线上方,但 RSI 和 MACD 正在下降,表明看涨势头已经减弱。 阻力位:1.1338, 1.1410 支撑位: 1.1157, 1.1088 纽元/美元,H4 亚洲早盘时段,澳元因就业报告利好而走强,超出预期。这一事态发展导致人们预测澳大利亚央行可能会考虑进一步加息。具体来说,澳大利亚就业人数增加了3.26万人,失业率下降至3.6%。这些数据表明该国劳动力市场仍然紧张,并可能导致未来通胀率上升。相反,美元继续走低,主要是由于令人失望的经济数据,削弱了其在市场中的地位。低迷的经济指标导致美元走软,目前美元表现面临障碍。 澳元/美元在斐波那契61.8%反弹,RSI和MACD等指标有反弹迹象,表明该货币对趋势反转。 阻力位:0.6844, 0.6878 …

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Japanese Yen Strengthen With Heighten Recession Risk

Major central banks tightening policies, boosts Japanese Yen. The Japanese Yen has reached its highest level in a month, surpassing the 140 mark against the U.S. dollar. This surge is attributed to the growing concerns of a global economic downturn due to major central banks tightening their monetary policies to combat persistent …

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Fed Officials Emphasise Higher Interest Rate Needed

Markets are now assessing the hawkish outlook against visibly cooling inflation Several Federal Reserve officials have expressed the view that interest rates need to be raised further this year in order to bring inflation back to the targeted rate of 2%. Despite this hawkish sentiment from the Fed, the market is inclined …

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Fed June Minutes Reveal Hawkish Stance

FOMC meeting minutes spark demand on the US Dollar Last night’s release of the FOMC meeting minutes revealed a divergence of opinions among Fed officials, with the majority committed to further rate hikes in their ongoing battle against persistent inflation. The Fed is expected to continue its rate hike cycle this month, …

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RBA Holding The Interest Rate Unchanged

Market participants remained relatively calm, eye on several crucial data including Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) The market was surprised when the RBA decided to keep rates unchanged yesterday. The Australian central bank emphasized a data-dependent strategy and indicated potential future tightening if necessary. Oil prices slightly increased as Saudi Arabia unilaterally reduced production, …

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U.S. PCE Shows Inflation Moderating

Cooling inflation has given hopes to the equity markets and weighed on the dollar The US Dollar has strengthened significantly as economic data exceeded expectations, bolstering confidence in the currency. Furthermore, the robust performance of the banking sector has ignited positive momentum in the US equity market. The Federal Reserve’s stress test …

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Resilient US Dollar And Robust Banks: Key Market Highlights

Solid US economic data continue to boost demand on US Dollar. The US Dollar has gained strength as economic data surpassed expectations. Meanwhile, the robust banking sector sparked bullish momentum in the US equity market. The Federal Reserve’s stress test results showcased the resilience of major banks, including Wells Fargo, JPMorgan Chase, …

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Dollar Gains As Federal Reserve Unleashes Hawkish Tone

Fed’s hawkish tone continues to spark rate hike expectations, US Dollar extend its bullish momentum. The global financial landscape is being marked by shifting monetary policies and concerns over inflationary pressures. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s hawkish tone has injected confidence in the US dollar, as market expectations for a rate hike …

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Equity Markets Positive After Russia Mutiny Resolved

Geopolitical tensions eased following Prigozhin’s troops retreat from Moscow as both parties had reached consensus on certain deals. Political instability in Russia has abated as Prigozhin’s troops retreat from Moscow, leading to a positive response in equity markets, particularly the Nasdaq, which rose over 1%. Oil and gold prices declined as the …

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Stock Markets Slide As Russian Instability Continues

The geopolitical uncertainty saw gold rise slightly, while lending support to a crude oil market plagued by demand concerns Stock markets were rattled as the events over the weekend in Russia heightened geopolitical uncertainty. In a late-night televised speech, the Russian president condemned the leaders of the Wagner mercenaries as traitors, further …

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Russia Mutiny Spurs Risk-Off Sentiment

The rule of Russian President Vladimir Putin, is facing a significant challenge as the Wagner mercenary group advances towards Moscow. The rule of Russian President Vladimir Putin, who has held power for 23 years, is facing a significant challenge as the Wagner mercenary group advances towards Moscow. This development has caused concerns …

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BoE Surprises With 50 Bps Rate Hike

Hike expectations have also increased across other central banks as the focus shifts back to inflation Markets have increased the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates, a sentiment also applied to other major central banks worldwide, including those of the U.K, Switzerland, and Norway. Furthermore, U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen …

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Powell Signals Higher Rates

On the first day of Jerome Powell’s two-day testimony before the House, the Federal Reserve Chair delivered a semi-annual monetary policy report. The equity markets and the dollar both experienced declines as Powell took a hawkish stance, stating that the central bank would need to raise interest rates further to curtail U.S. …

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Dollar Stands Pat Ahead Of Powell’s Testimony

Fed Chair Jerome Powell is due to give his twice-yearly testimony before congress today The market is exhibiting cautious sentiment as it edged lower in anticipation of Fed Chair Jerome Powell delivering his semi-annual monetary policy report before the House today (21st June). Investors closely scrutinise this two-day testimony to gain insights …

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Positive Talks Between Blinken And Xi Spur Hope For Equities

Additionally, China has announced its first reduction in the benchmark lending rate in 10 months, a move that could provide support for oil prices. Last night, the U.S. Secretary of State met with the Chinese President and expressed satisfaction with the accomplishments of their trip. This positive development in bilateral relations has …

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Blinken Potentially Meeting President Xi

Improved relationships between the US and China could potentially lead to the equities markets surging Equities in the U.S. contracted last Friday after a bullish run in the past week with Nasdaq up by more than 3%. Notably, U.S. Secretary of State Anthony Blinken’s visit to China, including meetings with top diplomats …

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Dollar Surrenders After Rate Pause Decision

Following the Federal Reserve’s decision to maintain the interest rate unchanged, equity markets responded positively, leading to upward movements, while the U.S. dollar experienced a significant decline of nearly 1% last night. On the other hand, Asian equities continue to gain, helped by the expectation of more stimulus from China. On top …

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Hawkish Tone From The Fed After Rate Pause

While the Fed has paused rates at their June FOMC meeting, their hawkish tone has caused the dollar to rise The Federal Reserve kept the interest rate unchanged at 5.25%, in line with market expectations, as U.S. inflation showed signs of moderating. Despite a rate pause, the dollar quickly erased its losses …

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Higher Chance For Rate Pause With Softer CPI

Inflation came in lower-than-expected and versus the previous month, signalling a June pause on the Fed’s hiking cycle. The equity markets experienced gains, accompanied by a weakening of the dollar, following the release of the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) yesterday. The U.S. CPI decreased to 4% from the previous month’s 4.9%, …

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Markets Waiting For CPI To Gauge Fed’s Next Move

The U.S. equity market witnessed a notable rally as investors expressed optimism about the possibility of the Federal Reserve pausing the rate hike The U.S. equity market witnessed a notable rally as investors expressed optimism about the possibility of the Federal Reserve pausing the rate hike, with the decision scheduled to be …

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Market Sideways Ahead Of U.S. CPI 

Dollar movement remains muted as investors await inflation data as well as the upcoming FOMC meeting The upcoming week is expected to be quite busy for investors, as significant events are anticipated to have a profound impact on the market. The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) will be released on Tuesday, setting …

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Dollar Drops On Cooling U.S. Job Market

High jobless claims have weighed on the dollar and thrown a wrench into the market outlook on the Fed’s hiking schedule U.S. initial jobless claims recorded the highest level since October 2021, confusing the market which previously speculated the Fed might follow the footstep of RBA and BoC to raise rates next …

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Is The Fed Going To Raise Interest Rates In June?

Despite the prevailing risk of an economic downturn in Australia, the RBA surprised the market by adding another 25 bps to its interest rate, vowing to bring the inflation rate down to 2%. The Canadian central bank followed the footstep of RBA and added 25 bps to its interest rate, causing the …

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Asian Equities Rise On China Stimulus Package

Additionally, a planned visit by the US Secretary of State has boosted indices like the HSI The Chinese government introduced an economic stimulus package, including lowering their deposit rate as soon as mid-June. Meanwhile, the U.S. Secretary of State has planned to visit China, which may improve the bilateral relationship between the …

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Dollar Hammered By Weak PMI Data

The dollar’s value experienced a decline, falling below $104 following the release of disappointing U.S. service PMI data. The reading dropped from 51.9 to 50.3, prompting the market to reconsider the possibility of the Federal Reserve pausing its interest rate hike in June. Investors are currently awaiting the announcement from the Reserve …

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Differences Between Indices Trading and Forex Trading

What Are Indices Trading And Forex Trading Indices trading and forex trading are both types of financial trading, but they involve different assets and markets. Forex trading, on the other hand, involves buying and selling currencies which involves forex traders speculating on the future movement of one currency against another.  Indices trading, …

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Dollar Surges on Impressive NFP and Debt Ceiling Resolution

Markets are now risk-on after the US Nonfarm Payrolls reported a much higher-than-expected increase in jobs. In response to impressive non-farm payroll figures, the US Dollar surged, buoyed by renewed market optimism surrounding the US economic progression. NFP in May saw a remarkable increase of 330,000 jobs, surpassing expectations and outpacing the …

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Is The Fed Skipping The June Rate Hike?

Over 70% of punters are now betting on a hike pause at the upcoming FOMC meeting The focus of attention is currently directed towards the U.S. Senate, where the passage of the debt limit is being closely observed. Concurrently, senators are engaged in debates concerning 11 amendments to the bill. The value …

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Debt Limit Bill Vote Passes The House

A Bipartisan Agreement To Suspend The Debt Ceiling Is Now Awaiting Approval From The U.S. Senate The House of Representatives has successfully passed a debt ceiling deal to prevent a potentially catastrophic event. However, the process is not yet complete as the bill now awaits approval from the Senate, where not all …

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Debt-Limit Bill Clears 1st Hurdle

Uncertainty Remains In The Markets As Both Political Parties In The U.S. Continue With Their Discourse Around The Debt Ceiling Issue The bill regarding the U.S. debt limit has successfully cleared its first obstacle at the House Rules Committee, but it now faces another challenge in Congress. Ahead of the bill’s debate …

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Optimism Ignites Asian Markets As Debt Ceiling Deal Sparks Risk Appetite

Market participants are now eagerly waiting for the conclusion of a debt ceiling deal in congress Global markets experienced a mixed landscape as Western holidays provided a sense of calm for dollar-related currencies. In contrast, Asian markets saw a surge in positive sentiment, driving the Nikkei index to its highest level in …

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Dollar Soars On Optimistic Debt Ceiling Deal

Markets Risk-on After Positive U.S. debt Ceiling Deal Boosted The Dollar The US Dollar continued its impressive rally, buoyed by the optimistic prospects of a tentative debt ceiling deal between President Joe Biden and top Republican Kevin McCarthy. The deal aims to avert a potentially catastrophic default, boosting investor sentiment. Concurrently, the …

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Dollar Surges On Robust Economic Data, Fueling Investor Confidence

The US Dollar was buoyed by robust US economic data and positive market sentiment. US GDP exceeded expectations, posting a strong growth rate of 1.30% compared to the projected 1.10%. Encouraging job market data also contributed to the dollar’s strength, with Initial Jobless Claims coming in lower than anticipated at 229K. The …

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Credit Rating Agencies Threatens to Cut U.S. Rating

Fitch has threatened to lower the US’ AAA rating as the debt ceiling issue remains at an impasse Wall Street slid as well as the Asian stock markets as the worries over the debt ceiling escalated when the time was getting closer to the X-date. Meanwhile, the dollar strengthened to its highest …

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U.S. Debt Ceiling Remains At An Impasse

The Biden-McCarthy meeting on the debt-limit bill has yet to yield any deal to avert a catastrophic U.S. default, with U.S. Treasury secretary warning that the country will run out of cash in June. Market sentiment worsened as the White House has no more meetings planned; and gold prices have rebounded due …

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Biden-McCarthy Talks Productive

Both President Biden and the House Speaker claimed that yesterday’s meeting on the debt-limit bill has a productive outcome but both parties are yet to come to an agreement. Meanwhile, U.S. treasury secretary Janet Yellen, reiterated that the department will run out of cash in early June. The dollar index has strengthened …

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Debt-Limit Talks Resume

After a brief setback in debt ceiling talks, US President Joe Biden is set to resume discussions with Kevin McCarthy President Biden is scheduled to resume discussions on the debt limit with House Speaker Kevin McCarthy on Monday, following his participation in the G-7 Summit. The dollar index reached its highest level …

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Dollar Surges On Positive Data And US Debt Ceiling Deal

Optimism In The Markets Has Seen The US Dollar Index And Equities Rising In Tandem The Dollar Index surged, buoyed by upbeat economic data, and the optimism surrounding a potential deal to raise the US debt ceiling. Prominent Republican Kevin McCarthy expressed confidence in passing a bill to increase the debt ceiling, …

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Biden Confident On Debt Ceiling Bill

President Biden is confident in reaching a bipartisan agreement with congressional leaders to elevate the debt ceiling, effectively averting an unprecedented default situation for the United States. This development has sparked a wave of optimism, prompting the dollar to trade higher, while the safe haven commodity gold languishes amid the surge in …

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Positive Progress On U.S. Debt Ceiling Bill

Investors are rotating out of gold en masse on optimism surrounding the U.S. avoiding a default Both President Biden and House Speaker Kevin McCarthy struck an optimistic tone regarding the prospects of reaching a consensus to raise the national debt ceiling and avert a potentially catastrophic default on the debt. As a …

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All Eyes On Biden Meeting Outcome

US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen has once again emphasised the need to pass the debt ceiling bill before June 1, warning that failure to do so could result in the federal government running out of cash to meet its obligations. President Biden is set to hold a meeting with congressional leaders today …

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Dollar Boosted By Fed’s Hawkish Comments

A bounce in the U.S. dollar has put downward pressure on oil and gold prices Equity markets were stagnant while the dollar has strengthened, driven by hawkish comments from various Fed officials stressing high inflation in the U.S. On the other hand, President Joe Biden and the country’s congressional leaders are going …

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Biden-McCarthy Meeting Postponed

Investor sentiment has taken a hit in the market following the postponement of a meeting between U.S. President Joe Biden and the House Speaker to address the looming debt ceiling crisis. The Biden administration is under pressure to pass the debt ceiling bill by June to avoid a potential default on the …

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Soft CPI Give Fed Room To Pause Rates

A lower-than-expected inflation has lent optimism to the markets The latest U.S. inflation figures have provided the Federal Reserve with some respite on its upcoming rate hike decision. The data for April showed a slight drop in inflation to 4.9% from 5%, easing the Fed’s dilemma. As a result, the dollar weakened …

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Markets Calm Before U.S. Inflation Data

As investors await the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) and monitor the development of the U.S. debt ceiling, the markets remain subdued. Most of the asset classes saw little change overnight ahead of the U.S. CPI, which is due to release later today (10th May). On the other hand, the market is …

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Markets Quietly Await U.S. CPI

The markets are quiet before the U.S. CPI released on Wednesday (10th May). U.S. equity markets moved sideways while the dollar index and gold prices have little change as the market is digesting the renewed banking sector risk as well as developments regarding the U.S. debt ceiling. On the other hand, Australia …

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Share Markets Advance After NFP Release

The Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) reading was in line with expectations, showing a substantial increase from the previous reading of 165,000 to 253,000. This suggests that the job market in the United States remains strong, indicating a robust economy. The equity market responded positively to this economic data and closed higher, resulting in …

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Equity Market Slides Ahead Of NFP Release

Renewed fears about the banking crisis have caused investors to turn risk-off even as gold hits a new high While investors are still digesting the recent rate hike by both the Fed and the ECB, the equity markets continue to slide with the renewed banking turmoil. Several regional banks in the US …

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Fed Rate At The Highest Level Since 2007

The dollar has dipped on dovish expectations and downward pressure on the economy Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell announced yesterday that the central bank would deliver its 10th consecutive interest-rate hike of 25 basis points, bringing the Fed rate to 5.25%, its highest level since 2007. Powell also hinted that the Fed …

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All Eyes on Fed’s Interest Rate Decision

Markets are widely expecting a 25-point hike at the upcoming Fed meeting The U.S. financial markets experienced much-needed stabilisation after JP Morgan’s acquisition of First Republic bank, the latest financial institution to fail. This development has lifted the U.S. equities markets, with Asian markets also opening higher after returning from the labour …

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Wall Street Rally Boosts Asian Equities

Markets now hang in balance with the future of First Republic Bank on contagion concerns Wall Street’s gained at the end of last week as investors waited for news on a bid for First Republic Bank. Japanese and Australian stocks edged higher, while U.S. futures were broadly flat in early Asian trading …

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Nasdaq Leads Wall Street Rally as US Tech Earnings Shine

The tech-heavy index is up over 2.7% on the day, with companies like Meta Platforms leading the rise Nasdaq led a Wall Street rally driven by robust earnings from US tech firms, despite concerns over US economic growth. Meta Platforms saw the biggest gains after forecasting quarterly revenue above estimates, citing AI’s …

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Euro Surges on Upward German Growth Forecast, ECB Hawkish Tone

The euro has received a boost from a combination of hawkish guidance from the ECB and positive economic data in the region The Euro stole the spotlight as it surged to a record high following Germany’s upward revision of its economic growth forecast for 2023. The move is reinforced by positive indicators, …

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First Republic Bank’s Deposit Plunge Sparks Risk-Off.

A probable bank run and a far lower-than-expected drop in deposits have prompted market participants to turn to safe havens First Republic Bank’s disappointing first-quarter results with a significant plunge in deposit levels, had raised concerns about the bank’s financial health. This triggered a risk-off sentiment, driving the CBOE Volatility Index to …

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Dollar Slips Ahead of Fed’s Monetary Policy Decision

With a 25-point hike already priced in for the dollar, investors have turned to the ECB’s hawkish outlook to price the euro The US Dollar slipped to a one-week low as investors pondered the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy ahead of next week’s meeting, where a rate hike is expected. Uncertainty lingers, with …

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Investors Brace for Uncertainty Ahead of Key Economic Data

The U.S. is trading flat as the markets prepare for potential uncertainty ahead of GDP and inflation figures The King Dollar is trading flat as market participants prepare for potential uncertainties. The upcoming release of GDP figures, core PCE price index, and employment cost index are critical for global investors. Meanwhile, the …

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Gold Prices Surge as Recession Looms

Dollar weakness has leant support to the precious metal, which has climbed back to the near-2000 mark U.S. equities took a hit as concerns over corporate earnings weighed heavily on investor sentiment, a sentiment that spilled over into Asian markets. The market’s risk appetite has contracted due to fears of a possible …

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Asian Shares Dip Amid Cautious Trading

The VIX dipped to its lowest level in over a year as equities trade sideways ahead of the Fed interest rate decision Asian shares traded lower, and U.S. equity futures fell as investors remained cautious after Wall Street closed with little change. The CBOE VIX volatility index hit its lowest level in …

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Dollar Struggles as Investors Remain Sceptical of Fed’s Hawkish Tone

The US Dollar continues to struggle as uncertainty over US monetary policy lingers in the global financial market. Despite hawkish comments from Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic and James Bullard regarding the need for rate hikes to combat inflation, market participants remain sceptical as the recent inflation data from the US region …

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China’s GDP Shows Solid Economic Recovery

Economic growth in the world’s second-largest economy will be bullish for oil prices China’s freshly released economic data has shown resilient growth in the country compared to the previous quarter. China’s GDP in the first quarter surged to 2.2% from the previous quarter’s 0%, a favourable sign that could potentially stimulate higher …

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Markets Cautious Ahead of Earnings Season

Equities are muted as markets await the expected volatility of the earnings season US index futures cautiously climbed during the Asian market session, signalling investors’ apprehension ahead of the upcoming earnings season. Against the backdrop of growing concerns over economic slowdown and the possibility of further rate hikes, market volatility is expected …

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Rate Hike Expectations Falter as PPI Plummets. 

The US Producer Price Index came in lower than expected The US Federal Reserve’s rate hike expectations have continued to wane amid a flurry of lacklustre economic data. The latest blow to inflationary pressures came from the Producer Price Index (PPI) released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, which displayed a significant …

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US Dollar Dips as Inflation Falls Short. 

US Treasury yields and the Greenback dipped as investors recalibrated their expectations for rate hikes following the release of March’s Consumer Price Index (CPI), which came in below the market consensus. This unexpected dip in inflation triggered a surge in the prices of non-yielding assets such as gold and crude oil, as …

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Markets Calm Before Inflation Data

Economists project the upcoming U.S. CPI figures will galvanise the markets in either direction depending on its performance U.S. equity markets have traded in low volatility for the past few sessions, but economists project the lull period will be broken after the U.S. CPI is released later today. A softer reading from …

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Equities Market Edge Higher as Risk-On Sentiment Escalates

The market has a higher risk tolerance, with U.S. equity markets edging higher and the dollar extending its gain for the 2nd straight session. On the other hand, notwithstanding a dovish stance from the newly appointed BoJ governor, economists projected that the ultra-loose monetary policy is unsustainable with the rising inflation in …

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Markets Muted While Celebrating Easter

Last Friday, U.S. economic data gave mixed signals, leaving the markets clueless, especially on the upcoming Fed’s monetary policy. The Non-Farm Payroll decelerated to 236k but is in line with the market consensus. However, the country recorded a record low in the unemployment rate, showing that the labour market remains hot. Most …

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Markets Steady Ahead of NonFarm Payroll.

Most of the asset classes were muted ahead of the Nonfarm Payroll report which will be released today; Markets seemed confused and contradictory between asset classes with the backdrop of high inflation and recession fears. Assets class, including equity markets, the U.S. dollar, gold, stayed flat on Thursday amid directionless trading. On …

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Is a Recession Looming?

Recession fears have escalated in the markets, especially after the ADP Nonfarm payroll was released yesterday. The dollar index traded higher, and gold prices poised at a yearly high as safe-haven assets are being sought after by investors amid a recession looming with a lower-than-expected U.S. job report. On top of that, …

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Banking Crisis Fears Resurface

Evidence of a weakening U.S. economy has led investors to rotate out of the dollar Although a hawkish statement from Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester advocated for sustained rates above 5%; the market is struggling with the resurgence of banking fears. The newly released economic data, including the manufacturing PMI and JOLTs …

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Stock Markets Mixed On Concerns Over Oil Inflation Risk

OPEC+’s surprise production cut has roiled Asian the equity markets U.S. equity markets continue to be bullish, with market sentiment continuing upwards after the banking sector woes. Asian markets saw mixed performance due to inflationary worry after a surprise move from OPEC+. The oil cartel further cut production by more than 1 …

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Oil Prices Surges With OPEC+ Surprise Supply Cuts 

Oil prices surged by more than 8%, with WTI crude trading above $81 for the first time since January after an unexpected announcement from OPEC+ to cut crude supply to tighten the market. The oil allies announced cutting more than 1 million barrels of oil per day, with Saudi Arabia leading the …

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Global Markets Maintain Risk-On Sentiment in Anticipation of Key PCE Reports

China’s economic performance continues to astound global markets as the latest Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data revealed that the service sector activity in the country surged to its fastest pace in 12 years in March. Such sentiment has sparked optimism for the antipodean currencies, which are closely linked to China’s economy. The …

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Tech Shares Push Wall Street Higher

Wall Street rallied following the footstep of Asian equity markets last night, pushed by tech shares as concerns over the stability of the financial system continue to ease. An increasing risk-on attitude has also muted the gold prices and the U.S. dollar while U.S. treasuries yield stays flat. Before the RBA announces …

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China Equity Market Rallies with Alibaba Revamp

Chinese stock indices, including the Hang Seng Index, rallied as Alibaba said it would split the company into 6 units that would potentially be listed individually. This reflects a loosening attitude from the Chinese government toward the technology companies after the long crackdown from Beijing. On the other hand, the fresh Australian …

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Markets Get Relief From Banking Turmoil

The banking crisis was seemingly resolved after yesterday’s news reported that First Citizens Bancshares Inc agreed to buy Silicon Valley Bank. On top of that, the U.S. authorities are considering expanding its emergency lending facilities for banks to shore up the bank’s balance sheet, which in a way supports the embattled First …

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Markets Put Less Weight On Banking Crisis

Focus has shifted back to inflation and interest rates as the banking crisis shows signs of easing Equity markets advanced and major currencies fluctuated in narrow ranges in the last session. Easing in the banking crisis and perceived lower risk of recession spurred the equity market to trade higher while modest rate …

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Equities Markets Slide as Banking Sector Concern Still Intact. 

Wall Street was hindered by the banking sector and slumped after investors digested the comment from Janet Yellen, U.S. Treasury Secretary on Wednesday’s hearing. However, Yellen attempted to alleviate market concerns during a subsequent hearing on Thursday, promising that policymakers would take further action to safeguard bank deposits if necessary. Meanwhile, Japan’s …

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Fed is not Pausing Rate Hike

Jerome Powell delivered a smaller size of rate hike of 25 bps which is in line with the market consensus; however, the market was hit by double assail with U.S. major indexes dropping by more than 1% and the dollar traded below $103. Firstly, Powell revealed that the Fed considered pausing the …

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Markets Risk-on Ahead of Fed’s Interest Rate Decision

Wall Street closed high and gold prices retraced as the fears over the banking sector crisis abated; the dollar index remains calm before the Fed’s interest rate decision announcement, which will be made later today (22nd March). However, investors are starting to discuss the banking turmoil as aftermath of central banks’ frenetic …

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U.S. Midterm Elections Ahead

What You Need to Know Asian markets are on the upsurge, especially the Hong Kong market, which climbed more than 11% in November. The Sterling will suffer as the BoE has turned its focus from inflation to saving its negative economic outlook, which will drive the market to sell off more pounds. …

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Understanding Fundamental Forex Trading Basics

Content: What Is Forex Or The Foreign Exchange?Example Of Forex TradingWhen Is Forex Traded?What Are Quotes In Forex Trading?How Do You Read A Forex Quote?Understanding What Is A Pip And A LotExplaining The Bid, Ask And Spread In Forex TradingWhat Does It Mean To Go Long Or Short In Forex TradingWhat Is …

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Forex

FOREX is the largest financial market in the world in terms of both size and liquidity. To give you a general idea of the size, an average of $5 trillion is traded globally each day. No stock market in the world trades such a huge amount on a daily basis. The idea …

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Watch Your Pips Grow into a Lot More

You’ve probably heard them a million times; “PIPs” and “LOTs” may be little but in the trading world they’re a BIG thing. You won’t understand trading until you understand them. What the pip!? PIP stands for “percentage in point” and is the smallest possible increment in a quote. Example: GBP/USD has a rate …

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Leverage and Margin

Now that we know what a pip is, we know that it is just a teeny amount, so you need to trade a LOT for these tiny PIPs to really make a difference. ‘Leveraging lets you magnify your profit potential, at the risk of greater losses, through allowing you to control a …

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What is currency

Currency, or foreign exchange, often abbreviated as forex or simply FX, refers to the exchange of global currencies on a decentralised market place – also known as over the counter (OTC) currency exchange. The foreign exchange market is the largest and most liquid market in the world, with an average daily trading …

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Central Banks

In its simplest context, Central Banks are responsible for overseeing the monetary system for a nation (or group of nations); however, central banks have a range of responsibilities, from overseeing monetary policy to implementing specific goals such as currency stability, low inflation and full employment. Central banks also generally issue currency, function …

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