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NFP

Showing results for: "NFP"

Dollar Surges on Impressive NFP and Debt Ceiling Resolution

Markets are now risk-on after the US Nonfarm Payrolls reported a much higher-than-expected increase in jobs. In response to impressive non-farm payroll figures, the US Dollar surged, buoyed by renewed market optimism surrounding the US economic progression. NFP in May saw a remarkable increase of 330,000 jobs, surpassing expectations and outpacing the …

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Share Markets Advance After NFP Release

The Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) reading was in line with expectations, showing a substantial increase from the previous reading of 165,000 to 253,000. This suggests that the job market in the United States remains strong, indicating a robust economy. The equity market responded positively to this economic data and closed higher, resulting in …

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Equity Market Slides Ahead Of NFP Release

Renewed fears about the banking crisis have caused investors to turn risk-off even as gold hits a new high While investors are still digesting the recent rate hike by both the Fed and the ECB, the equity markets continue to slide with the renewed banking turmoil. Several regional banks in the US …

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Ahead of NFP, Fed Implements Lowest Rate Hike in 10 Months

On Wednesday, the U.S Federal Reserve released its monetary policy decision for February 2023, raising the benchmark interest rate by 25 points at the conclusion of the FOMC meeting, as widely expected by the markets. This brings the target range of 4.5% to 4.75%, making it the highest since October 2007. This …

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Will Dovish Signalling Underscore the Effects of the Upcoming NFP?

On Wednesday evening, November’s ADP Nonfarm Employment Change numbers were released, vastly underperforming expectations with an increase of 127,000 private payroll jobs, well below the estimate of 190,000 and the previous month’s 239,000.  The leisure and hospitality sector was the largest gainer, with an increase in 224,000 jobs. The most significant sector …

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ADP Nonfarm Underperforms Ahead of NFP

On Wednesday (GMT+3) 31st August, the ADP US Nonfarm Employment figures were released after a 2-month hiatus. According to the ADP, US private payrolls grew by 132,000 – down from the 268,000 in July and the forecasted 300,000 increase. The ADP took a two-month hiatus to revise its methodology and released June, …

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Will JOLTs Data Foreshadow Friday’s NFP?

On Tuesday evening (GMT+3), the US JOLTs Job Openings data was released, showing 10.689 million job openings, lower than the expected 11 million and the previous month’s value of 11.303 million. This is also the lowest in 9 months.  Robert Frick, corporate economist at Navy Federal Credit Union, notes: “Fewer openings likely …

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US Dollar Index Consolidates Ahead of US NFP Report

On Thursday evening (GMT+3), the US Initial Jobless Claims data was released, showing that 235,000 people filed for unemployment insurance for the first time in the week of July second. This is the highest since January this year, and up from the forecasted 230,000 and the previous month’s 231,000. Continuing claims, whose …

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非农数据强劲,美元走高

市场须知 上周五发布的最新非农就业报告超出了市场预期,新增就业岗位 18.7 万,显着高于之前的 15.7 万。这一强劲的就业数据推动美元上涨超过 0.6%,而股市则需要一些时间来消化这些信息并横盘整理。在中国,由于中国政府将首付要求降低至 20%,旨在刺激陷入困境的房地产行业并增加消费者支出,股市早盘大幅上涨。与此同时,在中国和美国积极的经济数据以及主要产油国持续削减供应的支撑下,油价达到去年11月以来的最高水平。 市场看点 当前对 9 月 20 日美联储利率决定的加息押注: Source: CME Fedwatch Tool 0个基点 (93.0%) 对比 25 个基点 (7.0%)   市场概括 财经日历 市场走势 美元指数, H4 由于预期非农就业报告,美元本周走强。尽管个人消费支出通胀率达到 4.2% 的预期,但强劲的就业数据可能会巩固美联储长期加息的预期。首次申请失业救济人数小幅下降至 22.8 万。投资者等待非农就业数据,这可能会影响美元和更广泛的市场。 美元昨日上涨近0.5%,并在103轨迹上方受到强力支撑,为美元提供了看涨偏向信号。 MACD 已向下交叉,而 RSI 则反弹,支持美元看涨的观点。 阻力位: 103.88, 104.40 支撑位:103.40, 102.85 黄金/美元,H4 在美国就业数据好坏参半的情况下,金价仍在关键区间内徘徊,反映出经济的普遍不确定性。8月份非农就业报告出人意料地大幅增加了18.7万个就业岗位,超过了市场预期的17万个。然而,伴随而来的失业率飙升至3.80%,比7月份大幅上升,是2022年2月以来的最高水平,这给经济前景蒙上了阴影。这些对比鲜明的数据促使投资者寻求澄清,重申了黄金在不确定时期作为避险资产的作用。 黄金震荡盘整,目前测试前期压力。MACD指标显示看跌动能增强,而相对强弱指数在58,暗示该商品交投可能较低,因相对强弱指数从超买区域大幅回落。 阻力位:1950.00,1970.00 支撑位:1920.00,1900.00 欧元/美元, H4 由于美国经济数据好坏参半,欧元面临损失。非农就业数据(NFP)报告显示,就业岗位增加 …

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就业数据乐观,美元上扬

市场须知 由于经济数据好坏参半,道琼斯指数收盘下跌约0.5%,美国股市的连涨势头结束。美联储首选的通胀指标 PCE 指数与市场预测相符,为 4.2%,而首次申请失业救济人数降至 22.8 万人,表明劳动力市场紧张。由于经济走强增强了对 9 月加息的预期,美元随之反弹。相反,在俄罗斯宣布将石油出口削减期限延长至 10 月份以支持其 OPEC+ 联盟后,油价飙升逾 2%。在加密货币领域,美国证券交易委员会延迟对现货 BTC ETF 申请做出决定,导致比特币价值隔夜下跌近 5%。 市场看点 当前对 9 月 20 日美联储利率决定的加息押注: Source: CME Fedwatch Tool 0个基点 (89.0%) 对比 25 个基点 (11.0%)   市场概括 财经日历 市场走势 美元指数, H4 由于预期非农就业报告,美元本周走强。尽管个人消费支出通胀率达到 4.2% 的预期,但强劲的就业数据可能会巩固美联储长期加息的预期。首次申请失业救济人数小幅下降至 22.8 万。投资者等待非农就业数据,这可能会影响美元和更广泛的市场。 美元昨日上涨近0.5%,并在103轨迹上方受到强力支撑,为美元提供了看涨偏向信号。 MACD 已向下交叉,而 RSI 则反弹,支持美元看涨的观点。 阻力位: 103.88, 104.40 …

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下周更多经济数据来临

下周焦点:8 月 28 日当周 (GMT+3) 8 月 29 日,星期二,17:00 – 美国 JOLT 职位空缺(7 月) 市场原本预期6月份的数据为961万,但实际数据为958.2万,略低于预期。 鉴于当前劳动力市场状况紧张,这一数据被认为保持相对稳定。 它有可能成为美联储长期维持高利率的基础。 8 月 30 日,星期三,15:00 – 欧盟 德国消费者物价指数(环比)(8 月) 7月份通胀数据在0.3%,与市场预期一致,保持原有数据。全国通胀保持平衡状态。 然而,欧洲央行仍在寻找基本通胀开始发生重大变化的迹象。 8 月 30 日,星期三,15:30 – 美国 GDP(环比)(第二季度) 第二季度 2.4% 的强劲 GDP 数据表明了经济计划开始有效。 这一健康的数字唤起了人们的希望,即该国可能会避免预计的“温和”衰退。 8 月 31 日,星期四,04:30 – 中国 制造业PMI(8月) 最近有关中国经济及其未来发展方向的最新动态引起了投资者的极大关注。 最新PMI显示逐渐好转,从49.2升至49.3。 某些企业评论称,当前形势错综复杂且充满挑战,这使得形势难以乐观。 8 月 …

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中国意外降息以刺激经济

市场须知 中国出人意料地决定降低利率,以振兴持续低迷的经济。中国人民银行采取的这一行动引发了市场对中国经济前景持续恶化的担忧。与此同时,中国经济前景黯淡也对油价上涨势头产生抑制作用。此外,美国经济7月份生产者价格指数(PPI)数据高于预期,增强了美国国债市场的收益率,推动美元在最近几个交易日突破103美元关口。与此同时,金价经历了下跌,目前已接近 1900 美元的重要心理支撑位。 市场看点 当前对 9 月 20 日美联储利率决定的加息押注: Source: CME Fedwatch Tool 0个基点 (86%) 对比 25 个基点 (14%)   市场概括 财经日历 市场走势 美元指数, H4 由于对中国经济稳定的担忧日益加剧,投资者纷纷寻求避险美元,推动美元飙升至一个多月来的高点。美国国债收益率飙升,达到9个月来的显著高点,进一步加剧了这种避险行为。所有人的目光都集中在今天晚些时候即将公布的美国零售销售数据上。预计消费者支出将增长0.40%,凸显了美国经济的弹性。与此同时,市场参与者急切地等待即将到来的联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)会议的见解,这是本周关键事件。 美元指数正在走高,目前正在测试阻力位。然而,MACD指标显示看涨势头减弱,而相对强弱指数在65,暗示该指数可能进入超卖区域。 阻力位:103.40,103.90 支撑位:102.60,101.95 黄金/美元,H4 随着美国国债收益率保持上行轨迹,黄金作为避险资产的吸引力减弱,这强化了投资者普遍转向更鹰派立场的趋势。即将到来的美国零售销售和联邦公开市场委员会会议纪要将成为本周的关键事件和数据,建议投资者继续关注这些数据,以获得进一步的交易信号。 黄金价格正在走低,目前正在测试支撑位。然而,MACD指标显示看跌动能减弱,而相对强弱指数在37,暗示由于相对强弱指数从超卖区域大幅反弹,大宗商品可能会因技术性修正而走高。 阻力位:1930.00,1945.00 支撑位:1905.00,1885.00 美元/日元, H4 日元跌至去年11月以来的最低水平,原因是日本央行的超宽松货币政策与全球其他主要央行采取的策略不同。这导致日本与其他主要经济体之间的收益率差明显扩大。投资者猜测,随着日元接近一个关键关口,日本央行(Bank of Japan)可能会干预汇市。9月份在类似价格区间进行干预的历史先例,突显了这一即将做出的决定的重要性。 美元兑日元 (USD/JPY) 突破压力,交易走高。然而,MACD指标显示看涨势头正在减弱,而相对强弱指数在77,表明该货币对可能进入超卖区域。 阻力位:146.00,147.25 支撑位:144.75,143.25 欧元/美元,H4 美元走强给欧元带来下行压力,导致欧元跌至7月初以来的最低点。中国低于标准的经济表现导致美国国债收益率维持在较高水平。值得注意的是,美元指数已突破 103.00 美元关口,导致欧元/美元货币对显着下跌。与此同时,市场参与者预计将于周三公布欧元区GDP数据。该数据发布对于评估该地区的整体经济健康状况具有重要意义,并提供了对欧元强势的洞察。 欧元未能突破其关键支撑位1.0930,表明该货币对存在看跌倾向。 RSI 正在接近超卖区域,而 MACD …

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英国通胀下降,英镑疲软

市场须知 昨晚,随着英国和欧元区CPI数据公布,美元指数突破100美元;英镑大幅下跌近1%,欧元也出现小幅下跌。 CPI数据表明这些地区的通胀正显示出放缓的迹象。与此同时,由于零售销售和工业生产数据低于预期等经济数据令人失望,美元继续面临压力。另一方面,彭博社的经济学家预测,日本央行不太可能在不久的将来对其货币政策进行任何调整。然而,他们表示,十月现在正成为日本央行采取行动的最有可能的月份。其他方面,油价受到美元小幅走强和获利了结活动的影响。这是在美国原油库存下降之后发生的,但降幅没有预期那么大。 市场看点 当前对 7 月 26 日美联储利率决定的加息押注: Source: CME Fedwatch Tool 0个基点 (1%) 对比 25 个基点 (99%)   市场概括 财经日历 市场走势 美元指数, H4 在英国发布悲观的通胀报告后,衡量美元兑六种主要货币的美元指数出现了小幅回升。结果,英镑暴跌1.30%,创下四个多月来的最大单日跌幅。投资者青睐美元,在联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)利率决定公布前,美国国债上涨提振了美元。目前情况,投资者该密切关注美联储的货币政策声明,以寻找进一步的交易信号。 美元指数跌破支撑位之后走低。然而,MACD指标显示看跌动能减弱,而相对强弱指数在33,暗示该指数可能进入超卖区域。 阻力位:101.45,104.25 支撑位:98.70,94.75 黄金/美元,H1 受益于美国通胀压力放缓,金价继续在积极轨道上徘徊。疲软的美元促使投资者青睐以美元计价的黄金。美国令人失望的经济数据,以及对美联储(fed)将采取更温和立场的猜测,导致美国国债收益率走向负值。投资者正密切关注联邦公开市场委员会的利率决定,以评估金价可能进一步的走势。 黄金价格走势持平,目前接近阻力位。MACD指标显示看跌动能减弱,而相对强弱指数在56,暗示金价可能会走高,因相对强弱指数保持在中线上方。 阻力位:1985.00,2000.00 支撑位:1970.00,1950.00 欧元/美元, H4 昨晚,欧元在欧洲CPI数据公布后呈现横盘格局,小幅下跌。 CPI数据显示欧洲通胀率出现放缓迹象,从此前的6.1%降至5.5%。市场已经预料到了这一结果,因此也已经纳入了投资者的预期,导致欧元对的影响有限。尽管CPI数据温和,但市场仍预计下周欧洲央行(ECB)宣布利率决定时将加息25个基点。这种预期可能会在短期内继续影响市场情绪。 上周美国通胀数据公布后,欧元/美元大幅飙升,过去一周一直横盘整理。尽管该货币对仍交投于移动平均线上方,但 RSI 和 MACD 正在下降,表明看涨势头已经减弱。 阻力位:1.1338, 1.1410 支撑位: 1.1157, 1.1088 纽元/美元,H4 亚洲早盘时段,澳元因就业报告利好而走强,超出预期。这一事态发展导致人们预测澳大利亚央行可能会考虑进一步加息。具体来说,澳大利亚就业人数增加了3.26万人,失业率下降至3.6%。这些数据表明该国劳动力市场仍然紧张,并可能导致未来通胀率上升。相反,美元继续走低,主要是由于令人失望的经济数据,削弱了其在市场中的地位。低迷的经济指标导致美元走软,目前美元表现面临障碍。 澳元/美元在斐波那契61.8%反弹,RSI和MACD等指标有反弹迹象,表明该货币对趋势反转。 阻力位:0.6844, 0.6878 …

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Fed Officials Emphasise Higher Interest Rate Needed

Markets are now assessing the hawkish outlook against visibly cooling inflation Several Federal Reserve officials have expressed the view that interest rates need to be raised further this year in order to bring inflation back to the targeted rate of 2%. Despite this hawkish sentiment from the Fed, the market is inclined …

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RBA Holding The Interest Rate Unchanged

Market participants remained relatively calm, eye on several crucial data including Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) The market was surprised when the RBA decided to keep rates unchanged yesterday. The Australian central bank emphasized a data-dependent strategy and indicated potential future tightening if necessary. Oil prices slightly increased as Saudi Arabia unilaterally reduced production, …

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Equity Markets Positive After Russia Mutiny Resolved

Geopolitical tensions eased following Prigozhin’s troops retreat from Moscow as both parties had reached consensus on certain deals. Political instability in Russia has abated as Prigozhin’s troops retreat from Moscow, leading to a positive response in equity markets, particularly the Nasdaq, which rose over 1%. Oil and gold prices declined as the …

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Powell Signals Higher Rates

On the first day of Jerome Powell’s two-day testimony before the House, the Federal Reserve Chair delivered a semi-annual monetary policy report. The equity markets and the dollar both experienced declines as Powell took a hawkish stance, stating that the central bank would need to raise interest rates further to curtail U.S. …

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Dollar Surrenders After Rate Pause Decision

Following the Federal Reserve’s decision to maintain the interest rate unchanged, equity markets responded positively, leading to upward movements, while the U.S. dollar experienced a significant decline of nearly 1% last night. On the other hand, Asian equities continue to gain, helped by the expectation of more stimulus from China. On top …

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Markets Waiting For CPI To Gauge Fed’s Next Move

The U.S. equity market witnessed a notable rally as investors expressed optimism about the possibility of the Federal Reserve pausing the rate hike The U.S. equity market witnessed a notable rally as investors expressed optimism about the possibility of the Federal Reserve pausing the rate hike, with the decision scheduled to be …

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US CPI Shows Signs Of Moderation But Caution Still Advised

Markets have posted a slight rally after inflation came in lower than analyst expectations even as a debt crisis looms. On Wednesday, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released the year-on-year CPI readings for April, where a rise of 4.9% came in marginally lower than economists’ expectations of 5.0%. Meanwhile, month-on-month core …

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Markets Calm Before Inflation Data

Economists project the upcoming U.S. CPI figures will galvanise the markets in either direction depending on its performance U.S. equity markets have traded in low volatility for the past few sessions, but economists project the lull period will be broken after the U.S. CPI is released later today. A softer reading from …

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Markets Steady Ahead of NonFarm Payroll.

Most of the asset classes were muted ahead of the Nonfarm Payroll report which will be released today; Markets seemed confused and contradictory between asset classes with the backdrop of high inflation and recession fears. Assets class, including equity markets, the U.S. dollar, gold, stayed flat on Thursday amid directionless trading. On …

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Nasdaq 100 Enters Bull Market as Fears Over Banking Crisis Ease

On Wednesday, 8 March, the U.S. ADP Nonfarm Employment Change data for February was released, coming in at a lower-than-expected 145,000 against the expected 200,000 and down from January’s figure of an upwardly-revised 261,000. This is the latest in a string of cooling data showing that the Fed’s aggressive tightening regime might …

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Stubbornly Strong Jobs Data Supports Hawkish Fed Outlook

In a continued chain of unrelentingly robust jobs data, the U.S. ADP Nonfarm printed a reading of 242,000  for February, higher than an estimated 205 000 and up from a revised 119,000 for January. The service sector had the largest contribution to  job additions with 190,000, of which a majority came from …

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Commodities Surge as China’s Economy Recovery Sprints Ahead

On Wednesday, China released its Manufacturing PMI and Caixin Manufacturing PMI for February, beating economists’ expectations of 50.5 and 50.2 respectively. A reading above 50 indicates expansion from the previous month. This is the highest reading since April 2012, marking a faster-than-expected rebound for the world’s second-largest economy after covid-19 related shutdowns …

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FOMC Minutes Show Fight Against Inflation Will Continue, Soft Landing Possible

An increasingly risk-off market has been proved right as the U.S. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has released the minutes of its 31 Jan – 1 Feb meeting, signalling the Fed’s resolve to continue the fight against inflation. This includes further hikes, although almost all members of the FOMC supported a slowing …

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Amazon Reports Growing Share of Tech Market

Amazon’s advertising business continues to thrive, growing 19% YoY in Q4 2022 to $11.6 billion in sales, despite a slowdown in the digital advertising market that has affected other companies like Alphabet, Facebook, and Snap. While Amazon’s advertising unit is still a small portion of the company’s overall revenue, it is seen …

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FOMC Minutes:  No Light at the End of The Tunnel for Fed

On Wednesday, the U.S Federal Reserve released the minutes for its 13-14 December meeting, revealing a key message coming from committee members to investors: don’t start counting on a dovish pivot just yet.   Quoting from the minutes – “an unwarranted easing in financial conditions, especially if driven by a misperception by the …

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Will the Japanese Yen See a Big U-Turn in 2023?

On Wednesday, the Bank of Japan released a summary of opinions from its December meeting. The meeting, originally held on 20 December, saw the BoJ increase its 10-year benchmark yield ceiling in a surprise move that boosted the yen over 3% by investors betting on a Hawkish turn by the BoJ.  However, …

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6 Key Gold Trading Strategies To Know

In order to maximise your profits, understanding gold trading strategies are vital. Gold trading strategies are referred to as guidebooks by many gold traders to navigate how to manage a trade and when to close it. However, each form of a transaction has its own characteristics and not all trading strategies used …

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U.S. Midterm Elections Ahead

What You Need to Know Asian markets are on the upsurge, especially the Hong Kong market, which climbed more than 11% in November. The Sterling will suffer as the BoE has turned its focus from inflation to saving its negative economic outlook, which will drive the market to sell off more pounds. …

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Outsized ADP Nonfarm Employment Fizzles Stock Rally give back

On Wednesday evening (GMT+3), the US ADP Nonfarm Employment data was released, clocking in at 208,000 jobs added, better than the 200,000 forecasted and August’s 185,000. While the manufacturing, natural resources, and mining industries reported a loss of 29,000 positions, huge additions in the trade, transportation, utilities; and business and professional services …

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Rate Hike Overshadows US ADP Nonfarm Employment Figures

On Wednesday afternoon (GMT+3), the US ADP Nonfarm Employment Change figures were announced, revealing that employment in the US rose by 247,000, lower than the forecasted increase of 395,000 and the previous month’s increase of 479,000. Markets were largely unmoved by the ADP Employment figures as participants awaited the Fed’s interest rate …

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Gold rises as US ADP Nonfarm Employment massively underperforms

On Wednesday afternoon (GMT +2), the US ADP Nonfarm Employment data was released. The results showed that private U.S. payrolls fell by 301,000 in January 2022, the largest drop since April 2020, and far from the gain of 207,000 estimated by economists polled by Dow Jones. This is the first time in …

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ADP Employment Data Far Exceeds Expectations

On January 5 (Wednesday), the United States announced the December ADP employment data. According to the ADP private payroll numbers for December, 807,000 jobs were added compared to estimates of a figure of 410,000 and the previous value of 534,000, the largest increase since May 2021. The minutes from the Fed’s December FOMC meeting on …

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Key Economic Announcements

Economic announcements, or new events, are a widely followed aspect of trading due to their influence on monetary as well as political policy. Therefore, it is important to know which announcements are going to create the most impact and volatility so as to take advantage of their movements. Here are some of …

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Non-Farm Payrolls

Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) measures the amount of jobs gained in the U.S. during the previous month that aren’t farm related. It is typically released on the first Friday of the new month, and also includes the Unemployment Rate, Average Hourly Earnings, and the Participation Rate. While all of those releases can have …

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