Monthly Archives: June 2025

貿易樂觀情緒導致金價小幅回落

Written on June 6, 2025 at 8:03 am, by

關鍵要點: 市場概況: 美國總統川普透露,他與中國國家主席習近平進行了「非常好」的通話,這是中美貿易緊張局勢爆發以來兩國領導人首次直接接觸。此舉推動全球風險情緒略有改善。川普表示,他已接受中國國家主席習近平的訪問邀請,並回敬了習近平訪問白宮的邀請——儘管北京方面尚未正式確認此事。 儘管外交接觸引發了謹慎的樂觀情緒,但許多投資者仍然對斷斷續續的貿易新聞感到厭倦,選擇等待更具體的進展或最終達成的貿易協議,然後再全面重新定位。 在貨幣市場,市場情緒好轉提振了對歐元和英鎊等高風險貨幣的需求,而美元指數則延續跌勢。美國就業報告再次悲觀,初請失業金人數升至24.7萬,低於預期的23.6萬,美元人氣進一步走弱。初請失業金人數的成長顯示勞動市場疲軟,再加上近期疲軟的ADP就業數據和PMI採購經理人指數,加劇了人們對整體經濟前景的擔憂。 交易員目前正將注意力轉向即將公佈的美國非農就業數據(NFP)和失業率數據,這些數據可能決定美元的近期走勢。鑑於多項貿易協定已經簽署,且關稅言論有所降溫,經濟數據可能成為未來美元走勢的主要催化劑。 技術分析 黃金,H4: 黃金最初因市場情緒好轉而下跌,但在上升趨勢線 和關鍵支撐位在3345.00,這一水平歷來被視為堅實的基礎。這次反彈表明多頭正在積極捍衛這一水平。 技術指標: 答突破直接阻力位 3370.00將確認看漲突破,並打開通往下一個關鍵阻力位的道路3400.00然而,如果未能突破 3370.00,則可能導致目前範圍內繼續盤整。 阻力位:3370.00, 3400.00支撐位:3345.00, 3325.00 美元指數,H4: 美元指數仍然承受壓力,繼續在明確的下降通道反映出持續的看跌傾向。目前,它正在測試關鍵的支撐位在98.60。 儘管目前存在下行趨勢,但技術指標顯示短期技術性反彈可能即將到來: 答突破下降通道的上邊界和關鍵阻力位在99.55可能預示著趨勢逆轉,或至少是深度回調,下一個上行目標預計在100.55然而,如果持續跌破 98.60,將強化看跌結構,下行風險將轉向98.00。 阻力位:99.55, 100.55支撐位:98.60, 98.00

Candlestick Patterns & Support-Resistance Mastery

Written on June 6, 2025 at 8:00 am, by

Weekly Live Analysis Session

Written on June 6, 2025 at 7:18 am, by

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