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Gold

Showing results for: "Gold"

How To Invest In And Trade Gold

Gold has been used as a store of value for thousands of years. Even today, it remains a highly liquid asset, with hundreds of billions worth traded every day. Content: What Is Gold?What Affects The Price Of Gold? Why Invest In And Trade Gold?How To Start Trading Gold?How To Read And Analyse …

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Gold Prices Surge as Recession Looms

Dollar weakness has leant support to the precious metal, which has climbed back to the near-2000 mark U.S. equities took a hit as concerns over corporate earnings weighed heavily on investor sentiment, a sentiment that spilled over into Asian markets. The market’s risk appetite has contracted due to fears of a possible …

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Gold Surges Past 2010 as Inflation Shows Signs of Slowing

On Wednesday, 12 April, the U.S. CPI data was released, showing that March’s headline inflation in the U.S. slowed more than anticipated, with the year-on-year number showing a drop from 6.0% in February to 5.0% in March; lower than the expected 5.2%. The monthly rate decreased to 0.1% from 0.4%, which was …

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What Are The Factors That Affect Gold Prices?

Understand Deeper About How Gold Prices Work. Gold is one of the most widely-traded commodities in the world, and its value can fluctuate greatly based on a number of different factors. Here are some of the key factors that affect gold prices. Gold Prices Factor #1: Supply And Demand Not all of …

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Understanding The Gold-Silver Ratio Trading Strategy

What Is The Gold-Silver Ratio? Simply put, the gold-silver ratio is the price of gold divided by the price of silver. In other words, it is the amount of silver that is equivalent to one ounce of gold. This ratio has historical significance, having been used as a tool to maintain the …

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“Goldilocks” Markets Sees Diverging Signals After CPI Release

On Tuesday, February 14, the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures were released, showing an increase of 0.5% in January and the highest in three months but in-line with expectations. The year-on-year increase, meanwhile, is 6.4%, up slightly from market forecasts of 6.2%. Meanwhile, the core CPI, which excludes volatile food and …

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What Are The Best Trading Indicators For Gold?

In gold trading, technical analysis aids traders in predicting gold price movements based on data. Trading indicators are widely used by gold traders to derive insights from historical data so that they could make predictions about gold price movements. Hence, here are the best trading indicators you need to know to successfully …

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Gold Struggles to Find Direction even as China Eases Covid Restrictions

China has announced that it will be lifting its strictest covid policies, including being forced to quarantine in state facilities and the need to test before entering most venues. The easing has been released in a series of new guidelines that include a ban on blocking fire exits, encouraging vaccinations among the …

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6 Key Gold Trading Strategies To Know

In order to maximise your profits, understanding gold trading strategies are vital. Gold trading strategies are referred to as guidebooks by many gold traders to navigate how to manage a trade and when to close it. However, each form of a transaction has its own characteristics and not all trading strategies used …

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Why Is Gold Volatility So High?

While gold remains a highly liquid asset with hundreds of billions worth traded everyday, understanding gold volatility is key to successfully trading it.  To be more successful in gold trading, a good understanding of gold volatility would, more often than not, help gold traders make more informed decisions. Hence, you may want …

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Must-Know Gold Trading Tips

Gold has been known as a good hedge against inflation and hence, many investors flock towards the gold trading market. Here are some tips to know. Gold has been widely called a “safe-haven” asset as it is able to retain and increase in value despite times of market turbulence or inflation. Many …

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Gold Remains Downbeat as Treasury Yields Hit Decade High

Recession fears are plaguing the markets more strongly than ever. On Wednesday, US Treasury yields hit a 14-year high, with the 10-year note hitting as high as 4.153% as of writing – the highest since 2008’s recession. Meanwhile, the 2-year yield rose by 13 basis points to 4.57%. More importantly, the 3-month …

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How To Invest In And Trade Gold

Gold has been used as a store of value for thousands of years. Even today, it remains a highly liquid asset, with hundreds of billions worth traded every day. Content: What Is Gold?What Affects The Price Of Gold? Why Invest In And Trade Gold?How To Start Trading Gold?How To Read And Analyse …

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Gold Steadies as Fed Increases Interest Rate By Expected 0.25%

On Wednesday, 16 March, the US Federal Reserve made the long-awaited decision to raise interest rates to combat surging inflation. As per the market’s expectations, the Fed raised rates by 25 basis points. The 0.25% rate hike was voted on almost unanimously by policymakers, except St Louis Fed president James Bullard, who voted …

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Gold Surges as Geopolitical Tension in Eastern Europe Rises to New Heights

Rising geopolitical tensions between Russia and the West, combined with the effects of booming worldwide inflation, has caused the price of gold to soar. The precious metal is trading at its highest prices in over a year as investors seek the safe-haven asset in response to Putin’s increasing belligerent stance against Ukraine; …

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Unexpected Fed Dovishness Causes USD Drop and Gold Rise

On Wednesday evening (GMT+2), the US Federal Reserve released its meeting minutes, revealing its plans for interest rate hikes, as well as a “significant reduction” in asset holdings in response to spreading inflation. However, while its outward tone might seem hawkish, the details of the minutes lacked bite without any clear signals …

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Gold rises as US ADP Nonfarm Employment massively underperforms

On Wednesday afternoon (GMT +2), the US ADP Nonfarm Employment data was released. The results showed that private U.S. payrolls fell by 301,000 in January 2022, the largest drop since April 2020, and far from the gain of 207,000 estimated by economists polled by Dow Jones. This is the first time in …

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Why Should You Trade Gold

Gold has been long valued by societies all over the world for its lustre and malleability. Discover the 4 reasons why you should trade gold.  Gold trading is one of the most popular financial transactions conducted worldwide. Many forex traders also get their hands on gold trading with the aim of generating …

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How To Choose The Best CFD Broker?

Choosing the right CFD broker is crucial for successful trading. With so many options available, it can be overwhelming to make a decision. How do you navigate the world of CFD trading platforms and find the one that suits your needs? In this article, we will guide you through essential tips on …

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明日日本CPI指數備受關注

市场须知 強勁的美國股市在創出歷史新高後,上週五暫停了喘息,反映出看漲勢頭暫時停止。相反,美元指數在最近幾個交易日保持低迷走勢,但預計這種平靜將在未來一周被打破。焦點集中在即將於週四發布的聯準會首選通膨指標——個人消費支出(PCE)數據。此外,本週還將有多位聯準會官員亮相,他們的言論預計將深入了解央行未來的貨幣政策方向,進而影響美元的強勢。 相較之下,近期走軟的日圓本週面臨挑戰,因為國家核心 CPI 數據將於明天發布。市場觀察家熱切等待這一數據,該數據需要超出市場預期才能提振疲軟的日圓。 轉向大宗商品,金價已在 2030 美元關卡上方找到支撐,並對美元走強走勢保持敏感。相反,上週五油價大幅下跌超過2.20%,反映出市場對需求疲軟和供應增加的擔憂。 市场看点 目前對 3月 20 日聯準會利率決定的升息押注: Source: CME Fedwatch Tool 0個基點 (89.5%) 對比 -25 個基點 (10.5%) 市場概括 财经日历 (MT4 System Time) Source: MQL5 市場走勢 美元指数, H4 由於市場參與者預期聯準會可能推遲降息決定,美元仍保持區間波動。 根據消費者物價指數(CPI)、生產者物價指數(PPI)和就業報告等強勁的經濟指標,聯準會重新調整了降息預期,目前為80個基點,而此前預測為2024年初的150個基點。 美元指數先前從支撐位反彈後,正在走高。 MACD指標顯示看漲勢頭增強,而相對強弱指數在48,暗示該指數可能延續漲勢,因相對強弱指數從超賣區域大幅反彈。 阻力位:104.60,105.70 支撐位:103.85,103.05 黄金/美元,H4 受美國公債殖利率攀升以及聯準會(Fed)延後降息預期的影響,黃金價格在亞洲早盤小幅回落。 圍繞聯準會利率時間表的不確定性促使投資者採取觀望態度,投資者密切關注週四公佈的核心個人消費支出物價指數(PCE),以尋找潛在的交易訊號。 儘管面臨壓力,金價從中東緊張局勢升級中獲得支撐,緩解了貴金屬市場的潛在損失。 黃金價格從阻力位回撤後開始走低。 MACD指標顯示看漲動能減弱,而相對強弱指數(RSI)在58,暗示該商品可能擴大跌勢,因相對強弱指數從超買區域大幅回落。 阻力位:2035.00,2060.00 支撐位:2015.00,1985.00 英镑/美元,H4 過去一周,英鎊/美元貨幣對在通道內呈現上升趨勢,而美元則遭遇持續的阻力。即將發布的美國個人消費支出指數和聯準會官員的評論將在塑造未來貨幣政策決策的預期方面發揮關鍵作用。這些事件可能會影響美元的強勢。預計英鎊將維持在 1.2635 上方,使其能夠持續在既定的上升趨勢通道內。 英鎊/美元仍處於上行通道,表示該貨幣對存在看漲傾向。 …

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中国降低贷款利率以刺激地产行业

市场须知 为了刺激经济,中国对五年期贷款优惠利率进行了有记录以来最大幅度的下调。然而,包括恒生在内的股市并未对公布的刺激方案作出积极反应。 在美国市场,所有注意力都集中在周三的英伟达收益报告上,鉴于英伟达作为芯片巨头的重要性,该报告对于评估科技行业的实力至关重要。与此同时,由于预期周三将发布备受期待的联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)会议纪要,美元指数保持相对稳定。美国近期经济数据显示经济表现强劲,可能会影响美联储长期维持较高利率。 在澳大利亚,澳大利亚储备银行(RBA)货币会议纪要显示了加息的考虑,但倾向于采取更为谨慎的做法,表明需要更多时间来确定通胀方向。令人惊讶的是,这种鹰派情绪未能推动澳元走高。 市场看点 当前对 3月 20 日美联储利率决定的加息押注: Source: CME Fedwatch Tool 0个基点 (89.5%) 对比 -25 个基点 (10.5%)   市场概括 财经日历 (MT4 System Time) N/A Source: MQL5 市场走势 美元指数, H4 由于美国假期的原因,美元在市场平静期间保持平稳,投资者急切地期待即将到来的联邦公开市场委员会会议纪要的线索。尽管强劲的经济指标增强了人们对美国经济前景的信心,但在关键的联邦公开市场委员会会议之前的获利回吐活动导致美元小幅回调。对美联储(fed)大幅降息的预期明显下降,目前为今年约90个基点,较2月份的预期大幅下降。 美元指数持平,目前接近阻力位。MACD指标显示看跌动能减弱,而相对强弱指数在50,暗示该指数在突破后可能会走高,因相对强弱指数从超卖区域大幅反弹。 阻力位:104.60,105.70 支撑位:103.85,103.05 黄金/美元,H4 由于对即将到来的联邦公开市场委员会会议纪要前夕,黄金价格震荡盘整。在美国公布了一系列强劲的经济指标后,市场情绪倾向于预期美联储(fed)可能采取鹰派立场。这种前景对美元有影响,美元走强并对以美元计价的黄金施加压力。尽管存在这些不利因素,但黄金仍有一些上涨潜力,因为中东地区持续的不确定性扩大了其避险吸引力。 黄金价格持平,目前正在测试支撑位。MACD指标显示看涨势头减弱,而相对强弱指数在56,暗示该商品在突破后可能会走低,因为相对强弱指数仍低于中线。 阻力位:2035.00,2060.00 支撑位:2015.00,1985.00 英镑/美元,H4 英镑目前维持在价格盘整区间内,在1.2540至1.2640之间波动。英国央行 (BoE) 行长安德鲁·贝利 (Andrew Bailey) 定于今天晚些时候发表的讲话预计将影响该货币对的走势。此外,备受期待的联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)会议纪要将于明天发布,也可能直接影响该货币对的动态。 英镑/美元交投于其价格盘整区间内,但已形成更高的高位价格格局。 RSI 一直在 50 水平附近流动,而 MACD …

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地緣政治不穩定重啟,避險黃金攀升

市場須知 美元指數維持在阻力位附近的區間波動,美國強勁的經濟表現與鴿派的美聯儲聲明相互矛盾,使其走勢變得模糊。儘管美國今天因假日而暫停股票交易,但人們的注意力仍集中在即將發布的關鍵經濟數據上,包括零售銷售和工業生產,以及美聯儲官員的聲明和引人注目的銀行業績。本周經濟數據對投資者而言略重要,中國2023年全年GDP的發布也將為全球經濟發展提供進一步更清晰的交易信號。與此同時,由於美國和英國對葉門的襲擊引發地緣政治動盪,黃金價格飆升,增強了其避險吸引力。 市場看點 當前對 1月 31 日美聯儲利率決定的加息押註: Source: CME Fedwatch Tool 0個基點 (95%) 對比 -25 個基點 (5%) 市場概括 財經日曆 (MT4 System Time) Source: MQL5 市場走勢 美元指數, H4 美元指數對主要貨幣的走勢仍在阻力位附近盤整。來自美國的相互矛盾的信號——強勁的經濟表現與鴿派的美聯儲聲明——掩蓋了美元的走勢。本周的焦點是零售銷售數據和銀行收益,預計將提供有關美國消費者健康狀況的洞察。 美元指數持平,目前正在測試阻力位。MACD指標顯示看漲勢頭增強,而相對強弱指數在54,暗示該指數可能在突破後延續漲勢,因相對強弱指數保持在中線上方。 阻力位:102.60,103.45 支撐位:101.90,101.30 黃金/美元,H4 在美國和英國對葉門進行襲擊後,地緣政治緊張局勢不斷升,金價大幅飆升。針對與伊朗結盟的胡塞叛軍的軍事行動加劇了全球緊張局勢,提振了黃金的避險吸引力。儘管美國經濟數據樂觀,但對美聯儲鴿派立場的預期繼續增強黃金的吸引力。 繼之前突破阻力位之後,黃金價格正在走高。MACD指標顯示看漲勢頭增強,而相對強弱指數在57,暗示該商品在突破後可能延續漲勢,因相對強弱指數保持在中線上方。 阻力位:2055.00,2075.00 支撐位:2035.00,2015.00 英鎊/美元,H4 英鎊保持積極走勢,投資者密切關注即將發布的英國通脹報告,以尋找重要的交易信號。經濟學家預計通脹率將保持在英國央行2%的目標之上。與一些主要央行不同的是,英國央行堅持鷹派立場,表明將在較長一段時間內維持利率高位。這是為了防止通貨膨脹帶來的長期經濟問題。 英鎊兌美元低位反彈。MACD指標顯示看跌勢頭減弱,而相對強弱指數在53,暗示該貨幣對可能會延續漲勢,因為相對強弱指數保持在中線上方。 阻力位:1.2815,1.2905 支撐位:1.2728,1.2630 歐元/美元,H4 由於缺乏來自歐元區的市場催化劑,歐元的走勢仍然低迷。歐洲央行(ECB)官員承認經濟放緩受到控制,但強調2024年的不確定性。歐洲央行指出,即將發布的數據顯示,未來前景不確定,有下行傾向。這種不確定性促使投資者採取謹慎的立場,導致歐元被拋售,因為他們在等待該地區經濟前景的進一步發展。 歐元兌美元下跌,目前正在測試支撐位。MACD指標顯示,看跌勢頭正在增強,而相對強弱指數在51,這表明該貨幣對可能會繼續在中線附近的相對強弱指數支撐位附近盤整。 阻力位:1.1005,1.1080 支撐位:1.0945,1.0850 美元/日幣, H4 美元兌日元繼續下跌,在支撐位144.60附近徘徊。這種下跌背後的主要催化劑是不斷收緊的美日國債收益率。由於預期美聯儲在2024年可能更加溫和,經濟學家預測降息150個基點,投資者選擇拋售美元/日元頭寸,結束早些時候啟動的套利交易。 美元兌日元下跌,目前正在測試支撐位。MACD指標顯示看跌勢頭正在減弱,而相對強弱指數在52,這表明該貨幣對可能會經歷技術性調整,因為相對強弱指數仍高於中線 阻力位:146.30,147.55 支撐位:144.60,143.20 …

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How To Identify Market Trends For Trend Trading Strategies

The trend trading strategy is a popular strategy employed by many traders seeking to capitalise on sustained price movements in the financial markets. By learning how to identify market trends and adhering to these trends, traders aim to ride the wave of momentum and potentially generate profitable trades. In this article, we …

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The Main Market Categories

Bullion Bullion refers to the physical gold and silver of high purity. The demand for bullion isn’t driven only by their practical use, but also by their role as investments and a store of value. Paper currencies come with all sorts of problems, like the risk of inflation in times of political …

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了解基本面分析的基礎知識

在制定交易策略時,交易者會使用各種工具,這些工具大致可分為兩類分析方法:技術分析和“基本面分析”。儘管對每種方法眾說紛紜,但哪種交易策略 “更勝一籌 “卻沒有定論。每種分析方法都有自己的優勢,交易者往往會根據自己的交易偏好選擇不同的方法。事實上,有些交易者甚至會選擇將兩種方法結合起來,形成一種綜合方法。 什麼是基本面分析? 基本面分析包括研究推動市場波動的因素,它需要通過考慮現實條件以及微觀和宏觀經濟因素來評估金融工具的內在價值。這種方法旨在通過研究可能影響資產價值的潛在力量來評估資產。 基本面分析在交易或投資決策中至關重要,因為它提供了對驅動金融資產價值的基本因素的全面了解。例如,在股票交易中,通過評估公司的財務健康狀況、行業狀況和經濟指標,基本面分析使投資者能夠對資產的內在價值和潛在的未來表現做出明智的決策。它有助於識別被低估或高估的資產,評估風險和機遇,並根據相關企業的長期前景做出合理的投資選擇,從而提高在交易和投資中取得成功的可能性。 基本面分析的類型 基本面分析是交易者和投資者用來評估金融市場資產內在價值的一種重要方法,它涉及對可能影響投資價值和未來前景的各種因素進行研究。基本面分析大致可分為兩大類: 定性分析 定性分析依賴專家判斷,研究投資的主觀方面,涉及從多個來源收集信息。雖然定性分析缺乏精確的數值,但它有助於投資者全面了解投資機會。這些因素可以是公司執行長的認知能力,甚至是環境、社會和公司治理方面的努力。定性分析還可以包括對國家社會政治環境的了解,尤其是在貨幣交易方面。 定量分析 與定性分析相比,定量分析提供了一種更加客觀、以數據為導向的投資評估方法,它側重於可衡量的數據和數字指標。這種方法涉及分析財務報表、業績、經濟數據和其他量化指標,以評估投資的財務健康狀況和表現。 基本面分析的關鍵要素 基本面分析包括幾個基本要素,可提供對投資機會的全面了解。通過研究這些關鍵要素,交易者和投資者可以根據資產的內在價值和前景做出明智的決策。以下是基本面分析的主要組成部分: 管理與治理 評估公司管理團隊的質量、經驗、業績記錄以及做出正確決策的能力。此外,還要分析公司治理結構和實踐的有效性。 競爭優勢 考察公司的獨特優勢,如專利、品牌知名度、智慧財產權或市場主導地位。評估這些優勢的可持續性和持久性對於了解公司的長期前景至關重要。 行業分析 研究更廣泛的行業動態,包括市場規模、增長率、競爭格局、監管環境和技術趨勢。了解公司在行業內的運作方式,可以為了解公司未來的潛在表現提供寶貴的見解。 宏觀經濟因素 考慮利率、通貨膨脹、國內生產總值增長和財政政策等宏觀經濟變量對投資的影響,這些因素會影響投資所處的整體經濟環境。 財務報表分析 檢查財務報表,包括資產負債表、損益表和現金流量表,以評估公司的盈利能力、流動性、償付能力和效率。常用的財務比率,如每股收益(EPS)、市盈率(P/E)、市淨率(P/B)和股本回報率(ROE)等,用於評估公司的財務健康狀況。 估值技術 應用各種估值方法,如貼現現金流(DCF)分析、市盈率(P/E)分析和市淨率(P/B)分析,估算投資的內在價值。這些方法有助於確定一項投資是否被低估或高估。 經濟指標 監測就業數據、消費支出、通貨膨脹率和利率等經濟指標,以衡量經濟的整體健康程度,這些指標可以為潛在的市場走勢提供洞察力。 統計分析 使用統計工具和模型分析歷史數據,找出有助於預測未來市場走勢或公司業績的模式或關係。 金融市場中的基本面分析 定性分析和定量分析方法相輔相成,是基本面分析工具包中必不可少的工具。交易者和投資者在外匯市場、指數市場、貴金屬市場、商品市場、股票市場、ETF 市場和債券市場等各種金融市場做出交易決策之前,往往會將這兩種方法結合起來,以全面了解投資機會。 了解更多關於金融市場與交易的知識 點擊閱讀 外匯市場 在外匯市場上,基本面分析涉及評估可能影響貨幣價值的經濟因素。主要方面包括: 經濟指標: 監測經濟指標,如各國的國內生產總值增長、通貨膨脹率、利率、就業數據和貿易平衡,以衡量其經濟實力。積極的經濟數據通常會導致貨幣升值,而消極的數據則可能導致貨幣貶值。 貨幣政策: 分析中央銀行的政策,包括利率決定、貨幣刺激計劃和準備金要求的變化。央行的行動會對貨幣價值產生重大影響,了解這些政策對外匯交易者至關重要。 地緣政治事件: 評估地緣政治發展,如政治穩定、衝突和貿易協定,這些都會影響貨幣價值。重大政治事件或政策轉變可能帶來波動並影響外匯市場。 指數市場 指數市場的基本面分析涉及評估推動標普500指數、道瓊工業平均指數或英國富時 100 指數等股票市場指數表現的基本因素。主要方面包括: 收益和公司業績: 評估指數上市公司的財務健康狀況和表現,包括收入增長、盈利能力和收益報告,強勁的公司業績可推動指數上漲。 宏觀經濟因素: 分析經濟指標、貨幣政策和市場趨勢,這些因素會影響整體市場情緒並推動指數走勢。GDP 增長、利率和消費者信心等因素都會影響指數表現。 …

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Japanese Yen Strengthen With Heighten Recession Risk

Major central banks tightening policies, boosts Japanese Yen. The Japanese Yen has reached its highest level in a month, surpassing the 140 mark against the U.S. dollar. This surge is attributed to the growing concerns of a global economic downturn due to major central banks tightening their monetary policies to combat persistent …

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Fed Officials Emphasise Higher Interest Rate Needed

Markets are now assessing the hawkish outlook against visibly cooling inflation Several Federal Reserve officials have expressed the view that interest rates need to be raised further this year in order to bring inflation back to the targeted rate of 2%. Despite this hawkish sentiment from the Fed, the market is inclined …

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Fed June Minutes Reveal Hawkish Stance

FOMC meeting minutes spark demand on the US Dollar Last night’s release of the FOMC meeting minutes revealed a divergence of opinions among Fed officials, with the majority committed to further rate hikes in their ongoing battle against persistent inflation. The Fed is expected to continue its rate hike cycle this month, …

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RBA Holding The Interest Rate Unchanged

Market participants remained relatively calm, eye on several crucial data including Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) The market was surprised when the RBA decided to keep rates unchanged yesterday. The Australian central bank emphasized a data-dependent strategy and indicated potential future tightening if necessary. Oil prices slightly increased as Saudi Arabia unilaterally reduced production, …

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Aussie Dollar Gains Ahead Of RBA Rate Decision

The disappointed PMI reading indicates a lack of optimism in the manufacturing sector Investors await the RBA’s interest rate decision, expecting a 25 bps rate hike. Despite Australia’s CPI dropping to 5.6%, it remains distant from the 2% target. Meanwhile, the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) readings in both the United States and …

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U.S. PCE Shows Inflation Moderating

Cooling inflation has given hopes to the equity markets and weighed on the dollar The US Dollar has strengthened significantly as economic data exceeded expectations, bolstering confidence in the currency. Furthermore, the robust performance of the banking sector has ignited positive momentum in the US equity market. The Federal Reserve’s stress test …

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How To Identify Market Trends For Trend Trading Strategies

The trend trading strategy is a popular strategy employed by many traders seeking to capitalise on sustained price movements in the financial markets. By learning how to identify market trends and adhering to these trends, traders aim to ride the wave of momentum and potentially generate profitable trades. In this article, we …

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Resilient US Dollar And Robust Banks: Key Market Highlights

Solid US economic data continue to boost demand on US Dollar. The US Dollar has gained strength as economic data surpassed expectations. Meanwhile, the robust banking sector sparked bullish momentum in the US equity market. The Federal Reserve’s stress test results showcased the resilience of major banks, including Wells Fargo, JPMorgan Chase, …

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Dollar Gains As Federal Reserve Unleashes Hawkish Tone

Fed’s hawkish tone continues to spark rate hike expectations, US Dollar extend its bullish momentum. The global financial landscape is being marked by shifting monetary policies and concerns over inflationary pressures. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s hawkish tone has injected confidence in the US dollar, as market expectations for a rate hike …

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Equity Markets Positive After Russia Mutiny Resolved

Geopolitical tensions eased following Prigozhin’s troops retreat from Moscow as both parties had reached consensus on certain deals. Political instability in Russia has abated as Prigozhin’s troops retreat from Moscow, leading to a positive response in equity markets, particularly the Nasdaq, which rose over 1%. Oil and gold prices declined as the …

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Stock Markets Slide As Russian Instability Continues

The geopolitical uncertainty saw gold rise slightly, while lending support to a crude oil market plagued by demand concerns Stock markets were rattled as the events over the weekend in Russia heightened geopolitical uncertainty. In a late-night televised speech, the Russian president condemned the leaders of the Wagner mercenaries as traitors, further …

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Russia Mutiny Spurs Risk-Off Sentiment

The rule of Russian President Vladimir Putin, is facing a significant challenge as the Wagner mercenary group advances towards Moscow. The rule of Russian President Vladimir Putin, who has held power for 23 years, is facing a significant challenge as the Wagner mercenary group advances towards Moscow. This development has caused concerns …

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BoE Surprises With 50 Bps Rate Hike

Hike expectations have also increased across other central banks as the focus shifts back to inflation Markets have increased the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates, a sentiment also applied to other major central banks worldwide, including those of the U.K, Switzerland, and Norway. Furthermore, U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen …

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Powell Signals Higher Rates

On the first day of Jerome Powell’s two-day testimony before the House, the Federal Reserve Chair delivered a semi-annual monetary policy report. The equity markets and the dollar both experienced declines as Powell took a hawkish stance, stating that the central bank would need to raise interest rates further to curtail U.S. …

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Dollar Stands Pat Ahead Of Powell’s Testimony

Fed Chair Jerome Powell is due to give his twice-yearly testimony before congress today The market is exhibiting cautious sentiment as it edged lower in anticipation of Fed Chair Jerome Powell delivering his semi-annual monetary policy report before the House today (21st June). Investors closely scrutinise this two-day testimony to gain insights …

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Positive Talks Between Blinken And Xi Spur Hope For Equities

Additionally, China has announced its first reduction in the benchmark lending rate in 10 months, a move that could provide support for oil prices. Last night, the U.S. Secretary of State met with the Chinese President and expressed satisfaction with the accomplishments of their trip. This positive development in bilateral relations has …

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Blinken Potentially Meeting President Xi

Improved relationships between the US and China could potentially lead to the equities markets surging Equities in the U.S. contracted last Friday after a bullish run in the past week with Nasdaq up by more than 3%. Notably, U.S. Secretary of State Anthony Blinken’s visit to China, including meetings with top diplomats …

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Dollar Surrenders After Rate Pause Decision

Following the Federal Reserve’s decision to maintain the interest rate unchanged, equity markets responded positively, leading to upward movements, while the U.S. dollar experienced a significant decline of nearly 1% last night. On the other hand, Asian equities continue to gain, helped by the expectation of more stimulus from China. On top …

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Hawkish Tone From The Fed After Rate Pause

While the Fed has paused rates at their June FOMC meeting, their hawkish tone has caused the dollar to rise The Federal Reserve kept the interest rate unchanged at 5.25%, in line with market expectations, as U.S. inflation showed signs of moderating. Despite a rate pause, the dollar quickly erased its losses …

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Higher Chance For Rate Pause With Softer CPI

Inflation came in lower-than-expected and versus the previous month, signalling a June pause on the Fed’s hiking cycle. The equity markets experienced gains, accompanied by a weakening of the dollar, following the release of the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) yesterday. The U.S. CPI decreased to 4% from the previous month’s 4.9%, …

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Markets Waiting For CPI To Gauge Fed’s Next Move

The U.S. equity market witnessed a notable rally as investors expressed optimism about the possibility of the Federal Reserve pausing the rate hike The U.S. equity market witnessed a notable rally as investors expressed optimism about the possibility of the Federal Reserve pausing the rate hike, with the decision scheduled to be …

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Market Sideways Ahead Of U.S. CPI 

Dollar movement remains muted as investors await inflation data as well as the upcoming FOMC meeting The upcoming week is expected to be quite busy for investors, as significant events are anticipated to have a profound impact on the market. The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) will be released on Tuesday, setting …

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Dollar Drops On Cooling U.S. Job Market

High jobless claims have weighed on the dollar and thrown a wrench into the market outlook on the Fed’s hiking schedule U.S. initial jobless claims recorded the highest level since October 2021, confusing the market which previously speculated the Fed might follow the footstep of RBA and BoC to raise rates next …

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Is The Fed Going To Raise Interest Rates In June?

Despite the prevailing risk of an economic downturn in Australia, the RBA surprised the market by adding another 25 bps to its interest rate, vowing to bring the inflation rate down to 2%. The Canadian central bank followed the footstep of RBA and added 25 bps to its interest rate, causing the …

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Asian Equities Rise On China Stimulus Package

Additionally, a planned visit by the US Secretary of State has boosted indices like the HSI The Chinese government introduced an economic stimulus package, including lowering their deposit rate as soon as mid-June. Meanwhile, the U.S. Secretary of State has planned to visit China, which may improve the bilateral relationship between the …

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Dollar Hammered By Weak PMI Data

The dollar’s value experienced a decline, falling below $104 following the release of disappointing U.S. service PMI data. The reading dropped from 51.9 to 50.3, prompting the market to reconsider the possibility of the Federal Reserve pausing its interest rate hike in June. Investors are currently awaiting the announcement from the Reserve …

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Dollar Surges on Impressive NFP and Debt Ceiling Resolution

Markets are now risk-on after the US Nonfarm Payrolls reported a much higher-than-expected increase in jobs. In response to impressive non-farm payroll figures, the US Dollar surged, buoyed by renewed market optimism surrounding the US economic progression. NFP in May saw a remarkable increase of 330,000 jobs, surpassing expectations and outpacing the …

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Is The Fed Skipping The June Rate Hike?

Over 70% of punters are now betting on a hike pause at the upcoming FOMC meeting The focus of attention is currently directed towards the U.S. Senate, where the passage of the debt limit is being closely observed. Concurrently, senators are engaged in debates concerning 11 amendments to the bill. The value …

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All Eyes On U.S. Senate For Debt Ceiling Conclusion

The Week Ahead: Week of 5 June (GMT+3) Monday, 5 June, 11:30 – UK Composite PMI (May) Rating agency Moody has warned that the UK is set for a mild recession, given the high inflation and borrowing costs. Inflation in the country is the highest among F7 countries, with an increase of …

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Debt Limit Bill Vote Passes The House

A Bipartisan Agreement To Suspend The Debt Ceiling Is Now Awaiting Approval From The U.S. Senate The House of Representatives has successfully passed a debt ceiling deal to prevent a potentially catastrophic event. However, the process is not yet complete as the bill now awaits approval from the Senate, where not all …

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Debt-Limit Bill Clears 1st Hurdle

Uncertainty Remains In The Markets As Both Political Parties In The U.S. Continue With Their Discourse Around The Debt Ceiling Issue The bill regarding the U.S. debt limit has successfully cleared its first obstacle at the House Rules Committee, but it now faces another challenge in Congress. Ahead of the bill’s debate …

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Optimism Ignites Asian Markets As Debt Ceiling Deal Sparks Risk Appetite

Market participants are now eagerly waiting for the conclusion of a debt ceiling deal in congress Global markets experienced a mixed landscape as Western holidays provided a sense of calm for dollar-related currencies. In contrast, Asian markets saw a surge in positive sentiment, driving the Nikkei index to its highest level in …

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Dollar Soars On Optimistic Debt Ceiling Deal

Markets Risk-on After Positive U.S. debt Ceiling Deal Boosted The Dollar The US Dollar continued its impressive rally, buoyed by the optimistic prospects of a tentative debt ceiling deal between President Joe Biden and top Republican Kevin McCarthy. The deal aims to avert a potentially catastrophic default, boosting investor sentiment. Concurrently, the …

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Dollar Surges On Robust Economic Data, Fueling Investor Confidence

The US Dollar was buoyed by robust US economic data and positive market sentiment. US GDP exceeded expectations, posting a strong growth rate of 1.30% compared to the projected 1.10%. Encouraging job market data also contributed to the dollar’s strength, with Initial Jobless Claims coming in lower than anticipated at 229K. The …

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Credit Rating Agencies Threatens to Cut U.S. Rating

Fitch has threatened to lower the US’ AAA rating as the debt ceiling issue remains at an impasse Wall Street slid as well as the Asian stock markets as the worries over the debt ceiling escalated when the time was getting closer to the X-date. Meanwhile, the dollar strengthened to its highest …

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U.S. Debt Ceiling Remains At An Impasse

The Biden-McCarthy meeting on the debt-limit bill has yet to yield any deal to avert a catastrophic U.S. default, with U.S. Treasury secretary warning that the country will run out of cash in June. Market sentiment worsened as the White House has no more meetings planned; and gold prices have rebounded due …

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Biden-McCarthy Talks Productive

Both President Biden and the House Speaker claimed that yesterday’s meeting on the debt-limit bill has a productive outcome but both parties are yet to come to an agreement. Meanwhile, U.S. treasury secretary Janet Yellen, reiterated that the department will run out of cash in early June. The dollar index has strengthened …

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Debt-Limit Talks Resume

After a brief setback in debt ceiling talks, US President Joe Biden is set to resume discussions with Kevin McCarthy President Biden is scheduled to resume discussions on the debt limit with House Speaker Kevin McCarthy on Monday, following his participation in the G-7 Summit. The dollar index reached its highest level …

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Optimism Showed About Debt Ceiling Between Biden and McCarthy

House Speaker Kevin McCarthy was optimistic that congressional negotiators could reach a deal to raise or suspend the debt ceiling in time. The focus on resolving the debt limit issue overshadowed macroeconomic data as the June 1 deadline approached. McCarthy’s positive outlook came after a meeting at the White House and the …

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Dollar Surges On Positive Data And US Debt Ceiling Deal

Optimism In The Markets Has Seen The US Dollar Index And Equities Rising In Tandem The Dollar Index surged, buoyed by upbeat economic data, and the optimism surrounding a potential deal to raise the US debt ceiling. Prominent Republican Kevin McCarthy expressed confidence in passing a bill to increase the debt ceiling, …

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Debt Ceiling Optimism Overshadows Macro Data

The dollar has hit a 7-week high after significant progress on the debt ceiling bill has been reached. Macroeconomic data has taken a backseat as the U.S. nears its 1 June debt ceiling deadline as outlined by Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen. Unlike the hard data of economic releases, this is a political …

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Biden Confident On Debt Ceiling Bill

President Biden is confident in reaching a bipartisan agreement with congressional leaders to elevate the debt ceiling, effectively averting an unprecedented default situation for the United States. This development has sparked a wave of optimism, prompting the dollar to trade higher, while the safe haven commodity gold languishes amid the surge in …

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Positive Progress On U.S. Debt Ceiling Bill

Investors are rotating out of gold en masse on optimism surrounding the U.S. avoiding a default Both President Biden and House Speaker Kevin McCarthy struck an optimistic tone regarding the prospects of reaching a consensus to raise the national debt ceiling and avert a potentially catastrophic default on the debt. As a …

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All Eyes On Biden Meeting Outcome

US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen has once again emphasised the need to pass the debt ceiling bill before June 1, warning that failure to do so could result in the federal government running out of cash to meet its obligations. President Biden is set to hold a meeting with congressional leaders today …

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Dollar Boosted By Fed’s Hawkish Comments

A bounce in the U.S. dollar has put downward pressure on oil and gold prices Equity markets were stagnant while the dollar has strengthened, driven by hawkish comments from various Fed officials stressing high inflation in the U.S. On the other hand, President Joe Biden and the country’s congressional leaders are going …

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Understand How Asset Classes Correlate With Each Other

Understand The Intermarket Correlations Across Different Asset Classes And Role Of ETFs As an investor or trader, understanding how various asset classes relate to each other is critical to make informed investment decisions, build diversified portfolios, and manage risk. Asset class correlation refers to the extent to which the prices of different …

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Biden-McCarthy Meeting Postponed

Investor sentiment has taken a hit in the market following the postponement of a meeting between U.S. President Joe Biden and the House Speaker to address the looming debt ceiling crisis. The Biden administration is under pressure to pass the debt ceiling bill by June to avoid a potential default on the …

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Soft CPI Give Fed Room To Pause Rates

A lower-than-expected inflation has lent optimism to the markets The latest U.S. inflation figures have provided the Federal Reserve with some respite on its upcoming rate hike decision. The data for April showed a slight drop in inflation to 4.9% from 5%, easing the Fed’s dilemma. As a result, the dollar weakened …

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Markets Calm Before U.S. Inflation Data

As investors await the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) and monitor the development of the U.S. debt ceiling, the markets remain subdued. Most of the asset classes saw little change overnight ahead of the U.S. CPI, which is due to release later today (10th May). On the other hand, the market is …

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Markets Quietly Await U.S. CPI

The markets are quiet before the U.S. CPI released on Wednesday (10th May). U.S. equity markets moved sideways while the dollar index and gold prices have little change as the market is digesting the renewed banking sector risk as well as developments regarding the U.S. debt ceiling. On the other hand, Australia …

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Share Markets Advance After NFP Release

The Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) reading was in line with expectations, showing a substantial increase from the previous reading of 165,000 to 253,000. This suggests that the job market in the United States remains strong, indicating a robust economy. The equity market responded positively to this economic data and closed higher, resulting in …

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Equity Market Slides Ahead Of NFP Release

Renewed fears about the banking crisis have caused investors to turn risk-off even as gold hits a new high While investors are still digesting the recent rate hike by both the Fed and the ECB, the equity markets continue to slide with the renewed banking turmoil. Several regional banks in the US …

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Understanding What Indices Are And How To Trade Them

Indices trading can provide several benefits to traders, which includes allowing diversification of trade, access to multiple major markets and cost effectiveness. Find out exactly what indices trading is and how to trade indices in this comprehensive guide.  What Are Indices Indices are key indicators in the financial markets, serving as a …

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Fed Meeting Goes As Expected, Signals Potential Hike Pause

Traders are strongly advised to look out for Friday’s Nonfarm Payrolls data, meanwhile, is estimated to be at 180K, lower than the previous month’s 236K In line with market expectations, the U.S. Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 0.25%, or 25 basis points, bringing the so-called Fed fund rate up to between …

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Fed Rate At The Highest Level Since 2007

The dollar has dipped on dovish expectations and downward pressure on the economy Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell announced yesterday that the central bank would deliver its 10th consecutive interest-rate hike of 25 basis points, bringing the Fed rate to 5.25%, its highest level since 2007. Powell also hinted that the Fed …

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All Eyes on Fed’s Interest Rate Decision

Markets are widely expecting a 25-point hike at the upcoming Fed meeting The U.S. financial markets experienced much-needed stabilisation after JP Morgan’s acquisition of First Republic bank, the latest financial institution to fail. This development has lifted the U.S. equities markets, with Asian markets also opening higher after returning from the labour …

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Wall Street Rally Boosts Asian Equities

Markets now hang in balance with the future of First Republic Bank on contagion concerns Wall Street’s gained at the end of last week as investors waited for news on a bid for First Republic Bank. Japanese and Australian stocks edged higher, while U.S. futures were broadly flat in early Asian trading …

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Nasdaq Leads Wall Street Rally as US Tech Earnings Shine

The tech-heavy index is up over 2.7% on the day, with companies like Meta Platforms leading the rise Nasdaq led a Wall Street rally driven by robust earnings from US tech firms, despite concerns over US economic growth. Meta Platforms saw the biggest gains after forecasting quarterly revenue above estimates, citing AI’s …

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Euro Surges on Upward German Growth Forecast, ECB Hawkish Tone

The euro has received a boost from a combination of hawkish guidance from the ECB and positive economic data in the region The Euro stole the spotlight as it surged to a record high following Germany’s upward revision of its economic growth forecast for 2023. The move is reinforced by positive indicators, …

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First Republic Bank’s Deposit Plunge Sparks Risk-Off.

A probable bank run and a far lower-than-expected drop in deposits have prompted market participants to turn to safe havens First Republic Bank’s disappointing first-quarter results with a significant plunge in deposit levels, had raised concerns about the bank’s financial health. This triggered a risk-off sentiment, driving the CBOE Volatility Index to …

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Dollar Slips Ahead of Fed’s Monetary Policy Decision

With a 25-point hike already priced in for the dollar, investors have turned to the ECB’s hawkish outlook to price the euro The US Dollar slipped to a one-week low as investors pondered the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy ahead of next week’s meeting, where a rate hike is expected. Uncertainty lingers, with …

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Investors Brace for Uncertainty Ahead of Key Economic Data

The U.S. is trading flat as the markets prepare for potential uncertainty ahead of GDP and inflation figures The King Dollar is trading flat as market participants prepare for potential uncertainties. The upcoming release of GDP figures, core PCE price index, and employment cost index are critical for global investors. Meanwhile, the …

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Asian Shares Dip Amid Cautious Trading

The VIX dipped to its lowest level in over a year as equities trade sideways ahead of the Fed interest rate decision Asian shares traded lower, and U.S. equity futures fell as investors remained cautious after Wall Street closed with little change. The CBOE VIX volatility index hit its lowest level in …

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Dollar Holds on to Gains After Hike Expectations Bounce

USD remains elevated even as the economy shows signs of weakening The U.S dollar saw a bounce on Monday after a sustained dip on the back of signs of easing inflation and the recent bank stress. Resilient retails sales, optimistic earnings in Wall Street, and hike-signalling from the Fed have caused the …

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Dollar Struggles as Investors Remain Sceptical of Fed’s Hawkish Tone

The US Dollar continues to struggle as uncertainty over US monetary policy lingers in the global financial market. Despite hawkish comments from Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic and James Bullard regarding the need for rate hikes to combat inflation, market participants remain sceptical as the recent inflation data from the US region …

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China’s GDP Shows Solid Economic Recovery

Economic growth in the world’s second-largest economy will be bullish for oil prices China’s freshly released economic data has shown resilient growth in the country compared to the previous quarter. China’s GDP in the first quarter surged to 2.2% from the previous quarter’s 0%, a favourable sign that could potentially stimulate higher …

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Markets Cautious Ahead of Earnings Season

Equities are muted as markets await the expected volatility of the earnings season US index futures cautiously climbed during the Asian market session, signalling investors’ apprehension ahead of the upcoming earnings season. Against the backdrop of growing concerns over economic slowdown and the possibility of further rate hikes, market volatility is expected …

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Alibaba to roll out AI Tech to rival ChatGPT

Alibaba Cloud has unveiled its AI chatbot, Tongyi Qianwen The Chinese tech giant, Alibaba Cloud, unveiled an AI-driven chatbot  Tongyi Qianwen that will gradually become available across all Alibaba products, from enterprise communication to e-commerce, in the coming period. The chatbot will possess Chinese and English language capabilities and will be initially …

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Rate Hike Expectations Falter as PPI Plummets. 

The US Producer Price Index came in lower than expected The US Federal Reserve’s rate hike expectations have continued to wane amid a flurry of lacklustre economic data. The latest blow to inflationary pressures came from the Producer Price Index (PPI) released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, which displayed a significant …

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US Dollar Dips as Inflation Falls Short. 

US Treasury yields and the Greenback dipped as investors recalibrated their expectations for rate hikes following the release of March’s Consumer Price Index (CPI), which came in below the market consensus. This unexpected dip in inflation triggered a surge in the prices of non-yielding assets such as gold and crude oil, as …

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Markets Calm Before Inflation Data

Economists project the upcoming U.S. CPI figures will galvanise the markets in either direction depending on its performance U.S. equity markets have traded in low volatility for the past few sessions, but economists project the lull period will be broken after the U.S. CPI is released later today. A softer reading from …

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Equities Market Edge Higher as Risk-On Sentiment Escalates

The market has a higher risk tolerance, with U.S. equity markets edging higher and the dollar extending its gain for the 2nd straight session. On the other hand, notwithstanding a dovish stance from the newly appointed BoJ governor, economists projected that the ultra-loose monetary policy is unsustainable with the rising inflation in …

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Markets Muted While Celebrating Easter

Last Friday, U.S. economic data gave mixed signals, leaving the markets clueless, especially on the upcoming Fed’s monetary policy. The Non-Farm Payroll decelerated to 236k but is in line with the market consensus. However, the country recorded a record low in the unemployment rate, showing that the labour market remains hot. Most …

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Mixed Asian Shares After Surprise Rate Hike by RBNZ

Asian markets were mixed as investors digested a US labour report showing a drop in job openings to their lowest level in almost two years in February. New Zealand’s central bank increased its benchmark cash rate by 50 basis points to 5.25%, causing the New Zealand dollar to strengthen by almost 0.9%. …

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Markets Steady Ahead of NonFarm Payroll.

Most of the asset classes were muted ahead of the Nonfarm Payroll report which will be released today; Markets seemed confused and contradictory between asset classes with the backdrop of high inflation and recession fears. Assets class, including equity markets, the U.S. dollar, gold, stayed flat on Thursday amid directionless trading. On …

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Nasdaq 100 Enters Bull Market as Fears Over Banking Crisis Ease

On Wednesday, 8 March, the U.S. ADP Nonfarm Employment Change data for February was released, coming in at a lower-than-expected 145,000 against the expected 200,000 and down from January’s figure of an upwardly-revised 261,000. This is the latest in a string of cooling data showing that the Fed’s aggressive tightening regime might …

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Is a Recession Looming?

Recession fears have escalated in the markets, especially after the ADP Nonfarm payroll was released yesterday. The dollar index traded higher, and gold prices poised at a yearly high as safe-haven assets are being sought after by investors amid a recession looming with a lower-than-expected U.S. job report. On top of that, …

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Banking Crisis Fears Resurface

Evidence of a weakening U.S. economy has led investors to rotate out of the dollar Although a hawkish statement from Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester advocated for sustained rates above 5%; the market is struggling with the resurgence of banking fears. The newly released economic data, including the manufacturing PMI and JOLTs …

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Stock Markets Mixed On Concerns Over Oil Inflation Risk

OPEC+’s surprise production cut has roiled Asian the equity markets U.S. equity markets continue to be bullish, with market sentiment continuing upwards after the banking sector woes. Asian markets saw mixed performance due to inflationary worry after a surprise move from OPEC+. The oil cartel further cut production by more than 1 …

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Oil Prices Surges With OPEC+ Surprise Supply Cuts 

Oil prices surged by more than 8%, with WTI crude trading above $81 for the first time since January after an unexpected announcement from OPEC+ to cut crude supply to tighten the market. The oil allies announced cutting more than 1 million barrels of oil per day, with Saudi Arabia leading the …

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Crude Surges on Surprise OPEC+ Cuts

Oil prices surged at the beginning of the week after OPEC+ unexpectedly announced crude output cuts that could tighten the market, causing inflationary concerns for the global economy. The cuts, which will exceed 1 million barrels a day, were not expected by traders who anticipated output to remain steady. Goldman Sachs raised …

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Global Markets Maintain Risk-On Sentiment in Anticipation of Key PCE Reports

China’s economic performance continues to astound global markets as the latest Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data revealed that the service sector activity in the country surged to its fastest pace in 12 years in March. Such sentiment has sparked optimism for the antipodean currencies, which are closely linked to China’s economy. The …

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Tech Shares Push Wall Street Higher

Wall Street rallied following the footstep of Asian equity markets last night, pushed by tech shares as concerns over the stability of the financial system continue to ease. An increasing risk-on attitude has also muted the gold prices and the U.S. dollar while U.S. treasuries yield stays flat. Before the RBA announces …

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China Equity Market Rallies with Alibaba Revamp

Chinese stock indices, including the Hang Seng Index, rallied as Alibaba said it would split the company into 6 units that would potentially be listed individually. This reflects a loosening attitude from the Chinese government toward the technology companies after the long crackdown from Beijing. On the other hand, the fresh Australian …

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Markets Get Relief From Banking Turmoil

The banking crisis was seemingly resolved after yesterday’s news reported that First Citizens Bancshares Inc agreed to buy Silicon Valley Bank. On top of that, the U.S. authorities are considering expanding its emergency lending facilities for banks to shore up the bank’s balance sheet, which in a way supports the embattled First …

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Markets Put Less Weight On Banking Crisis

Focus has shifted back to inflation and interest rates as the banking crisis shows signs of easing Equity markets advanced and major currencies fluctuated in narrow ranges in the last session. Easing in the banking crisis and perceived lower risk of recession spurred the equity market to trade higher while modest rate …

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Equities Markets Slide as Banking Sector Concern Still Intact. 

Wall Street was hindered by the banking sector and slumped after investors digested the comment from Janet Yellen, U.S. Treasury Secretary on Wednesday’s hearing. However, Yellen attempted to alleviate market concerns during a subsequent hearing on Thursday, promising that policymakers would take further action to safeguard bank deposits if necessary. Meanwhile, Japan’s …

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Fed Takes Risk With Rate Hike Amid Banking Crisis

Investors hoping for a pause in rate hikes were disappointed as the U.S. Federal Reserve pushed ahead with a quarter-point hike at its interest rate decision on Wednesday. While way lower than 2022’s mega-hikes of 50 to 75 bps and in line with economist expectations, March’s 25-point hike is a calculated risk …

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Fed is not Pausing Rate Hike

Jerome Powell delivered a smaller size of rate hike of 25 bps which is in line with the market consensus; however, the market was hit by double assail with U.S. major indexes dropping by more than 1% and the dollar traded below $103. Firstly, Powell revealed that the Fed considered pausing the …

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Markets Risk-on Ahead of Fed’s Interest Rate Decision

Wall Street closed high and gold prices retraced as the fears over the banking sector crisis abated; the dollar index remains calm before the Fed’s interest rate decision announcement, which will be made later today (22nd March). However, investors are starting to discuss the banking turmoil as aftermath of central banks’ frenetic …

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Investors Snap Up Adani Bonds

Hedge funds and distressed debt specialists are buying bonds related to Gautam Adani’s business empire, a potential sign of encouragement after a recent short-seller report. Oaktree Capital Management and Davidson Kempner Capital Management are among the firms buying the debt, which suggests that a rout in Adani’s securities may be easing after …

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Crude Oil Prices Defy Inventory Build

On Wednesday, the U.S Energy Information Administration reported an increase in crude inventories by 2.42 million barrels, close to the market expectations of 2.46 millions barrels. This is the third consecutive crude inventory build, coming after an outsized 4.14 million last week. This makes it a rough 4% above the 5-year average …

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China’s reopening :  Is the Chinese Equity Market Warming Up?

Starting Sunday, China no longer requires quarantine for inbound travellers. No more testing requirements to board trains, planes, ferries or shuttle buses for domestic travel. While anyone wanting to enter the country will only need a 48-hour negative Covid test result. Officials estimate that the number of trips over the Chinese New …

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FOMC Minutes:  No Light at the End of The Tunnel for Fed

On Wednesday, the U.S Federal Reserve released the minutes for its 13-14 December meeting, revealing a key message coming from committee members to investors: don’t start counting on a dovish pivot just yet.   Quoting from the minutes – “an unwarranted easing in financial conditions, especially if driven by a misperception by the …

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Outlook on Crude Positive for Early 2023 on China Reopening and OPEC+ Cuts

U.S. crude oil stockpiles fell much more than expected, according to the data of the American Petroleum Institute (API). The weekly report released by the organisation reported a draw of nearly 3.1 million barrels of crude oil for the week ending in December 16th. Compared to a build up of more than …

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What is Leverage?

Find out more about leverage, margin, and how they can benefit you when trading forex, gold, and more You might have heard the term “leverage” being used by traders or in the finance world, but what does it really mean? Leverage is a tool used by investors or traders to amplify their …

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U.S. Midterm Elections Ahead

What You Need to Know Asian markets are on the upsurge, especially the Hong Kong market, which climbed more than 11% in November. The Sterling will suffer as the BoE has turned its focus from inflation to saving its negative economic outlook, which will drive the market to sell off more pounds. …

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What Are The Best Trading Hours In Forex Markets

Just as with most forms of investing and trading, taking note of the trading hours in the forex market is everything in Forex trading. Grasping the right hours in the day to trade, knowing the dates of important economic announcements, and just timing your trades correctly will give you an edge, and …

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Outsized ADP Nonfarm Employment Fizzles Stock Rally give back

On Wednesday evening (GMT+3), the US ADP Nonfarm Employment data was released, clocking in at 208,000 jobs added, better than the 200,000 forecasted and August’s 185,000. While the manufacturing, natural resources, and mining industries reported a loss of 29,000 positions, huge additions in the trade, transportation, utilities; and business and professional services …

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ADP Nonfarm Underperforms Ahead of NFP

On Wednesday (GMT+3) 31st August, the ADP US Nonfarm Employment figures were released after a 2-month hiatus. According to the ADP, US private payrolls grew by 132,000 – down from the 268,000 in July and the forecasted 300,000 increase. The ADP took a two-month hiatus to revise its methodology and released June, …

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FOMC Minutes Reveals Fed’s Inflation Fears

On Wednesday, 17 August (GMT+3), the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) released the minutes for its 26-27 July meeting. In it, the Fed has finally decided to take a step back to assess the effects of aggressive monetary tightening. For the past few rate hikes, which saw increases as high as 75 …

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Cooling US CPI Numbers Give Hope for Soft Landing 

On Tuesday evening (GMT+3), the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for July was released, showing a year-on-year growth of 8.5% – lower than the expected growth of 8.7% and the previous month’s increase of 9.1%. Core CPI, which excludes volatile categories like food and energy, comes in at an increase of 0.3% …

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Will JOLTs Data Foreshadow Friday’s NFP?

On Tuesday evening (GMT+3), the US JOLTs Job Openings data was released, showing 10.689 million job openings, lower than the expected 11 million and the previous month’s value of 11.303 million. This is also the lowest in 9 months.  Robert Frick, corporate economist at Navy Federal Credit Union, notes: “Fewer openings likely …

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US CPI Sees Yield Curve Inversion

On Wednesday afternoon (GMT+3), the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures for June were released, showing that consumer prices grew by 9.1% year-on-year, the fastest pace of inflation growth since November 1981. This is higher than the forecast of 8.8% and May’s figure of 8.6%. Meanwhile, Core CPI increased 0.7% month-on-month, higher …

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US Dollar Index Consolidates Ahead of US NFP Report

On Thursday evening (GMT+3), the US Initial Jobless Claims data was released, showing that 235,000 people filed for unemployment insurance for the first time in the week of July second. This is the highest since January this year, and up from the forecasted 230,000 and the previous month’s 231,000. Continuing claims, whose …

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Crude Drops Despite EIA Inventory Decrease

On Wednesday (GMT+3), the US Energy Information Administration reported a decrease of 2.762 million barrels in its crude oil inventories for the week of 24 June. This is more than the forecasted decrease of 569,000 barrels and the previous week’s decrease of 386,000.  Meanwhile, gasoline stocks increased by 2.6 million barrels, while …

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Powell Raises “Unconditional” Commitment to Battling Inflation

Fighting rampant inflation has become the Fed’s main objective, and Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s words to the US House Financial Services Committee during his semi-annual testimony might have sparked more than a few fears about a recession. Specifically, it means that the Fed might be ready to cause increased unemployment or even …

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Fed’s 75 Point Hike Boosts Equity Markets

On Wednesday evening (GMT+3), the US Federal Reserve announced a rate hike of 0.75% or 75 basis points, up from the last rate hike of 50 points. This is the largest Fed interest rate hike in 28 years, and brings the benchmark interest rate to between 1.50% – 1.75%, a number last …

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Oil Rises Despite EIA Crude Oil Inventory Increase

On Wednesday evening (GMT+3), the US EIA Crude Oil Inventories data was released. For the Week of 3 June, US inventories of crude increased by 2.025 million barrels. This is compared to the forecasted draw of 1.917 million, and the previous week’s draw of 5.068 million.  Meanwhile, distillate inventories saw a rise …

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Positive Manufacturing PMI Buoys Dollar

On Wednesday evening (GMT+3), the US ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers‘ Index (PMI) figure for May was released. May showed a reading of 56.1, higher than the forecasted 54.5 and the previous month’s value of 55.4. The ISM Manufacturing PMI measures product demand from over 300 key manufacturers in the US and is …

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Poor Retailer Earnings Lead Another US Stock Rout

US shares saw their largest rout in almost two years as investors exited equities on the back of poor retailer earnings results and inflation fears. Trading hours on Wednesday saw the Dow Jones Industrial Average lose 3.57% to close at 31490.07, the S&P 500 drop 4.04% to close at 3923.68, and the …

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Rate Hike Overshadows US ADP Nonfarm Employment Figures

On Wednesday afternoon (GMT+3), the US ADP Nonfarm Employment Change figures were announced, revealing that employment in the US rose by 247,000, lower than the forecasted increase of 395,000 and the previous month’s increase of 479,000. Markets were largely unmoved by the ADP Employment figures as participants awaited the Fed’s interest rate …

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US Shares Rout on Inflation Fears

US shares plunged on Tuesday night (GMT+3) as investor fears about spiking interest rates, slowing economic growth, and rampaging inflation culminated in a rout. The S&P 500 closed the day by 2.8% lower to 4,175.20, Dow Jones slid around 800 points to 33,240.18, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite plunged nearly 4% to …

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How to Diversify Your Portfolio for Inflation

While most investors will greet inflation as bad news, moderate, consistent inflation is healthy for the economy, promoting productivity and driving demand and consumption. However, high inflation can also erode the value of cash – often at a much quicker rate than income increases. Other assets, however, can grow with and even …

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FOMC Minutes Point To $95b Balance Sheet Cuts

On Wednesday, 6 April (GMT+3), the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) released the minutes for its 15-16 March meeting. As expected, the meeting was focused on discussing the tightening measures that the Fed would take to rein in galloping inflation. Chiefly, the central bank has plans to shrink its almost-US$9 trillion balance …

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US ADP Nonfarm Data Points To Half-Point Rate Hike

On Wednesday afternoon March 30 (GMT+3), the US ADP Nonfarm Employment Change data reported an increase in 455,000 jobs. This figure is slightyly more than the expected increase of 450,000, and down from the previous month’s value of 486,000. While higher than expected, March’s ADP Employment numbers are still the lowest seen …

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Crude Surges Amid Lower-than-expected EIA Inventories

On Wednesday evening March 23 (GMT+3), the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported a decrease of 2.508 million barrels in its crude oil inventories for the week of 18 March. This is in contrast to the forecasted increase of 0.114m barrels, and the previous increase of 4.345M. Meanwhile, a disruption in the …

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China Sees Worst Covid-19 Outbreak Since Pandemic Start

28 of China’s 31 provinces have recently seen an outbreak of the highly-infectious Omicron variant of the coronavirus. With over 15,000 infected, this is the largest outbreak China has seen since the initial wave of the virus. The recent outbreak has hit major cities including Shanghai and Shenzhen. Dongguan city, the fifth-largest …

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了解基本面分析的基礎知識

在制定交易策略時,交易者會使用各種工具,這些工具大致可分為兩類分析方法:技術分析和“基本面分析”。儘管對每種方法眾說紛紜,但哪種交易策略 “更勝一籌 “卻沒有定論。每種分析方法都有自己的優勢,交易者往往會根據自己的交易偏好選擇不同的方法。事實上,有些交易者甚至會選擇將兩種方法結合起來,形成一種綜合方法。 什麼是基本面分析? 基本面分析包括研究推動市場波動的因素,它需要通過考慮現實條件以及微觀和宏觀經濟因素來評估金融工具的內在價值。這種方法旨在通過研究可能影響資產價值的潛在力量來評估資產。 基本面分析在交易或投資決策中至關重要,因為它提供了對驅動金融資產價值的基本因素的全面了解。例如,在股票交易中,通過評估公司的財務健康狀況、行業狀況和經濟指標,基本面分析使投資者能夠對資產的內在價值和潛在的未來表現做出明智的決策。它有助於識別被低估或高估的資產,評估風險和機遇,並根據相關企業的長期前景做出合理的投資選擇,從而提高在交易和投資中取得成功的可能性。 基本面分析的類型 基本面分析是交易者和投資者用來評估金融市場資產內在價值的一種重要方法,它涉及對可能影響投資價值和未來前景的各種因素進行研究。基本面分析大致可分為兩大類: 定性分析 定性分析依賴專家判斷,研究投資的主觀方面,涉及從多個來源收集信息。雖然定性分析缺乏精確的數值,但它有助於投資者全面了解投資機會。這些因素可以是公司執行長的認知能力,甚至是環境、社會和公司治理方面的努力。定性分析還可以包括對國家社會政治環境的了解,尤其是在貨幣交易方面。 定量分析 與定性分析相比,定量分析提供了一種更加客觀、以數據為導向的投資評估方法,它側重於可衡量的數據和數字指標。這種方法涉及分析財務報表、業績、經濟數據和其他量化指標,以評估投資的財務健康狀況和表現。 基本面分析的關鍵要素 基本面分析包括幾個基本要素,可提供對投資機會的全面了解。通過研究這些關鍵要素,交易者和投資者可以根據資產的內在價值和前景做出明智的決策。以下是基本面分析的主要組成部分: 管理與治理 評估公司管理團隊的質量、經驗、業績記錄以及做出正確決策的能力。此外,還要分析公司治理結構和實踐的有效性。 競爭優勢 考察公司的獨特優勢,如專利、品牌知名度、智慧財產權或市場主導地位。評估這些優勢的可持續性和持久性對於了解公司的長期前景至關重要。 行業分析 研究更廣泛的行業動態,包括市場規模、增長率、競爭格局、監管環境和技術趨勢。了解公司在行業內的運作方式,可以為了解公司未來的潛在表現提供寶貴的見解。 宏觀經濟因素 考慮利率、通貨膨脹、國內生產總值增長和財政政策等宏觀經濟變量對投資的影響,這些因素會影響投資所處的整體經濟環境。 財務報表分析 檢查財務報表,包括資產負債表、損益表和現金流量表,以評估公司的盈利能力、流動性、償付能力和效率。常用的財務比率,如每股收益(EPS)、市盈率(P/E)、市淨率(P/B)和股本回報率(ROE)等,用於評估公司的財務健康狀況。 估值技術 應用各種估值方法,如貼現現金流(DCF)分析、市盈率(P/E)分析和市淨率(P/B)分析,估算投資的內在價值。這些方法有助於確定一項投資是否被低估或高估。 經濟指標 監測就業數據、消費支出、通貨膨脹率和利率等經濟指標,以衡量經濟的整體健康程度,這些指標可以為潛在的市場走勢提供洞察力。 統計分析 使用統計工具和模型分析歷史數據,找出有助於預測未來市場走勢或公司業績的模式或關係。 金融市場中的基本面分析 定性分析和定量分析方法相輔相成,是基本面分析工具包中必不可少的工具。交易者和投資者在外匯市場、指數市場、貴金屬市場、商品市場、股票市場、ETF 市場和債券市場等各種金融市場做出交易決策之前,往往會將這兩種方法結合起來,以全面了解投資機會。 了解更多關於金融市場與交易的知識 點擊閱讀 外匯市場 在外匯市場上,基本面分析涉及評估可能影響貨幣價值的經濟因素。主要方面包括: 經濟指標: 監測經濟指標,如各國的國內生產總值增長、通貨膨脹率、利率、就業數據和貿易平衡,以衡量其經濟實力。積極的經濟數據通常會導致貨幣升值,而消極的數據則可能導致貨幣貶值。 貨幣政策: 分析中央銀行的政策,包括利率決定、貨幣刺激計劃和準備金要求的變化。央行的行動會對貨幣價值產生重大影響,了解這些政策對外匯交易者至關重要。 地緣政治事件: 評估地緣政治發展,如政治穩定、衝突和貿易協定,這些都會影響貨幣價值。重大政治事件或政策轉變可能帶來波動並影響外匯市場。 指數市場 指數市場的基本面分析涉及評估推動標普500指數、道瓊工業平均指數或英國富時 100 指數等股票市場指數表現的基本因素。主要方面包括: 收益和公司業績: 評估指數上市公司的財務健康狀況和表現,包括收入增長、盈利能力和收益報告,強勁的公司業績可推動指數上漲。 宏觀經濟因素: 分析經濟指標、貨幣政策和市場趨勢,這些因素會影響整體市場情緒並推動指數走勢。GDP 增長、利率和消費者信心等因素都會影響指數表現。 …

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The Main Market Categories

Bullion Bullion refers to the physical gold and silver of high purity. The demand for bullion isn’t driven only by their practical use, but also by their role as investments and a store of value. Paper currencies come with all sorts of problems, like the risk of inflation in times of political …

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Markets Build Risk Appetite as ADP Nonfarm Exceeds Expectations

On Wednesday, 15:15 (GMT+2), data for the February US ADP Nonfarm Employment Change was released. At 475,000, the number beat out the market estimate of 378K, although it is still lower than the previous month’s 509,000. Broken down, February’s numbers indicate a significant employment drop of 96,000 in small businesses, although overall …

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Russia invades Ukraine

On Thursday, 24 February, Russian forces entered neighbouring Ukraine, sparking what some are calling the largest conflict in Europe since World War 2. Land, sea, and air forces have been sent into Ukrainian space, with the country’s foreign minister saying that the country’s capital, Kyiv, has been hit by Russian rocket strikes. …

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Chances of 50-point Rate Hike Increases as US CPI Hits 40-year High

On Thursday (GMT+2), the US released its Consumer Price Index data (CPI) for January. Results showed that inflation, as measured by the CPI, increased by 7.5% year-on-year, beating out the forecasted 7.3% and posting the highest gain since 1982. The results also mark an increase of 0.6% from December, continuing the fourth …

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Fed Expected to Expedite Rate Hikes as US CPI Beats Expectations

On January 12 (Wednesday) afternoon (GMT+2), the United States announced its year-on-year, not seasonally-adjusted Consumer Price Index (CPI) for December. US CPI rose 7% in 2021, the largest 12-month gain since 1982, according to data released by the Labor Department. CPI rose 0.5% month-on-month in December, slightly beating the market expectations of …

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How Can You Deal with a Bear Market?

Like the tides, the financial markets wax and wane. It’s all part of the natural cycles of the financial system since no bull market can last forever. A bear market is usually defined as a 20% or more drop of a major stock index. While the index most commonly used as the …

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ADP Employment Data Far Exceeds Expectations

On January 5 (Wednesday), the United States announced the December ADP employment data. According to the ADP private payroll numbers for December, 807,000 jobs were added compared to estimates of a figure of 410,000 and the previous value of 534,000, the largest increase since May 2021. The minutes from the Fed’s December FOMC meeting on …

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CFD Trading Example

A Contract for Differences, commonly known as CFD, is an agreement where the difference in settlement of a financial derivative’s open and close prices is resolved with a cash settlement. CFDs exist for multiple assets, including stocks, indices and commodities, although no delivery of actual goods or securities happen when trading a …

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The 3 Main Market Categories

Bullion Bullion refers to the physical gold and silver of high purity. The demand for bullion isn’t driven only by their practical use, but also by their role as investments and a store of value. Paper currencies come with all sorts of problems, like the risk of inflation in times of political …

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What is currency

Currency, or foreign exchange, often abbreviated as forex or simply FX, refers to the exchange of global currencies on a decentralised market place – also known as over the counter (OTC) currency exchange. The foreign exchange market is the largest and most liquid market in the world, with an average daily trading …

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What are CFDs

Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are financial derivatives that allow investors to speculate on whether the price of a specific instrument will rise or fall, without taking ownership of the underlying asset. Contracts for Difference have grown in popularity in recent years, enabling retail traders to invest in various financial instruments including forex, …

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