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經濟成長擔憂加劇,油價跌至五個月低點

Published: 15 October 2025,05:16

Published: 15 October 2025,05:16

Daily Market Analysis New

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關鍵要點

*全球經濟放緩擔憂加劇,原油延續跌勢

*OPEC+暗示美國產量創紀錄,可能增加產量

*中美緊張局勢進一步影響需求前景

市場概況:

上週,原油價格延續跌勢,跌至數月低點,因對全球經濟前景的擔憂日益加劇,抑制了市場對原油的信心。此前有報道稱,OPEC+可能考慮增產此舉可能會進一步打壓已經因供應增加而承壓的價格。

美國能源資訊署(EIA)報告稱,美國原油產量仍高於每天1300萬桶接近 4 月首次創下的紀錄水平1347萬桶/日非歐佩克產油國產量的持續增加,加劇了市場對供應過剩的擔憂,削弱了歐佩克穩定油價的努力。

加劇了悲觀情緒,中美貿易緊張局勢需求前景蒙上陰影。新的關稅威脅和全球貿易放緩引發了人們對未來幾個月能源消耗可能減弱的擔憂。國際能源總署(IEA)還警告稱,全球供應成長可能超過早先的預期,可能導致市場過剩局面在年底前進一步擴大。

展望未來,交易員將密切關注OPEC+政策討論、中美關係以及關鍵的宏觀經濟指標來判斷價格是否能夠觸底或面臨進一步下跌的風險。

技術分析

USOIL,H4:

原油仍面臨巨大的拋售壓力,交易價格接近關鍵支撐位為 57.85 美元,為五個月以來的最低水準。MACD預示著看跌勢頭的加強,而RSI三十六仍低於中線,表示持續存在下行傾向。

持續跌破57.85 美元可能會進一步下跌51.40 美元,而未能突破則可能導致短期反彈至62.35 美元

阻力位:62.35,67.15
支撑位:57.85,51.40

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