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市場情緒不一,前景不明,美元維持窄幅波動

Published: 15 October 2025,05:20

Published: 15 October 2025,05:20

Daily Market Analysis New

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關鍵要點

*投資者猶豫不決,美元在關鍵區間附近盤整

*美國政府關門影響市場情緒

*美國經濟數據延遲為聯準會前景增添不確定性

市場概況:

美元指數(DXY)本週,美元窄幅震盪,徘徊在關鍵技術水平附近,投資者權衡相互矛盾的市場訊號。美國財政狀況和全球風險情緒的持續不確定性令交易員保持謹慎,限制了美元的方向性判斷。

此前人們擔心美元貶值曾推動投資人轉向加密貨幣的美元指數,在上週末加密貨幣暴跌之後開始回落。儘管數位資產隨後小幅反彈,但波動性促使投資者重新評估圍繞美元疲軟的論點。美元指數恢復了溫和的需求,儘管其長期前景仍偏向下行

正在進行的美國政府關門迄今為止,疫情封鎖持續時間最長,已推遲發布關鍵經濟指標,包括非農就業數據失業率數據。缺乏新的經濟數據使得聯準會的政策評估,而降息預期持續存在,令美元在中期內繼續承壓。

在支援方面,中美貿易緊張局勢法國的政治不確定性刺激了對美元的避險需求,從而緩解了美元的跌勢。未來,交易員將密切關注美國財政僵局中美關係,這兩者都可能決定美元的近期走勢。

技術分析

美元指數,H4

美元指數走低,目前正在測試支撐位在98.80,形成勢雙頂形態。 這MACD顯示出看跌勢頭增強,而RSI已經跌破中線,站在附近43,暗示有進一步下跌的傾向。

確認突破98.80可能為邁向下一個支撐位打開大門98.15。然而,如果該指數維持在這一水平之上,則反彈至99.55仍然有可能。

阻力位:99.55, 100.25
支撑位:98.80, 98.15

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