Published: 5 March 2026,06:45
Daily Market Analysis New
*美國股市昨日反彈：Nasdaq +1.3%，S&P 500 +0.8%，道指 +0.5%，地緣政治風險緩和推動買盤。
*ADP 就業及服務業表現強勁，投資人對經濟韌性信心增強。
市場概況：
美股昨日強力反彈，Nasdaq 上漲約 1.3%，S&P 500 約 0.8%，道指約 0.5%，小型股 Russell 2000 上漲約 1.1%。此波反彈源於早前因中東緊張與油價飆升引發的拋售後，油價回落及經濟數據亮眼提振信心。
多種因素推動反彈：美國 ADP 就業新增強勁、服務業表現良好，加上油價緩和，減輕通膨壓力。科技與成長股（如 Nvidia、Amazon）領漲，顯示創新與 AI 仍支撐市場。
地緣政治仍影響盤中交易：早盤擔憂衝突擴大，引發防禦性布局，但隨後傳出伊朗間接信號可能接觸美方，並搭配美國穩定油運措施，提升市場風險偏好。
板塊表現整體向好：科技與非必需消費品領漲，金融及能源因油價穩定而表現中性。
未來關注主題：宏觀數據（Fed Beige Book、失業救濟金、NFP）、中東地緣政治、企業財報（大型科技、AI 及週期股）將影響板塊輪動及估值。
技術分析
Nasdaq，四小時 (H4)：
Nasdaq 自 26,000 附近受阻後進入調整，從 25,800 0.618 費波回撤位下跌至 24,590 0.236 支撐區，現於 24,590–25,100 區間盤整，嘗試向 0.382 區回升，但仍低於 25,425 0.5 費波位，整體偏區間整理。
動能指標偏中性：RSI 略高於 50，無明顯方向性；MACD 微正，但零軸下方，顯示整體動能仍在恢復中。
阻力位： 25,425, 25,800
支撐位： 25,050, 24,590
以行業低點差和閃電般的執行速度交易外匯、指數、貴金屬等。
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