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技術分析(2025年8月28日)

Published: 28 August 2025,05:00

Published: 28 August 2025,05:00

Chart The Market

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咖啡,D1:

咖啡期貨價格強勢反彈,從4月接近每磅4.41美元的高點下跌逾30%的暴跌中強勢反彈。該商品在2.80美元附近獲得強勁支撐,並在此形成雙底反轉形態(也可解讀為「W」型形態),預示著市場結構正在發生強勁轉變,並強化了看漲的技術面前景。

目前價格正向歷史最高水準邁進,如果能明顯突破 4.41 美元的歷史阻力位,可能將確認長期上升趨勢的恢復,並開啟進一步上漲的潛力。

動量指標與看漲價格走勢高度一致。相對強弱指數 (RSI) 已進入超買區域,反映出持續的買盤壓力;移動平均線 (MACD) 已突破零線並繼續向上發散,支持近期持續走強的觀點。

主要圖表形態的完成,加上動量訊號的確認,顯示復甦得到了強力支撐。成功突破4.41美元的水平將被廣泛解讀為一個重要的看漲里程碑,可能會吸引更多受動量驅動的買盤。

阻力位:4.256、4.760

支撐位:3.290、2.800

歐元/加元,H4

這歐元/加元對已跌破其上升通道,標誌著轉向看跌偏見. 最新一輪下跌趨勢延續,該貨幣對下跌0.37%。

兩人現在正接近1.5950附近的關鍵支撐位,與61.8%斐波那契回檔位,其中技術反彈如果買家介入,可能會發揮作用。

動量指標繼續指向疲軟,RSI 略微走低和MACD 跌破零線,凸顯了兩人的主導地位看跌勢頭。

阻力位:1.6120, 1.6175

支撐位:1.6000、1.5950

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