

BTC,H4:
比特幣正面臨越來越大的下行壓力,正在測試其當前上升趨勢支撐線的關鍵位置。如果日線收盤價確認跌破該水平,則意味著結構性重大崩潰,近期的上漲趨勢將失效,短期內將呈現看跌趨勢。
價格結構的疲軟由動量指標的惡化所證實。相對強弱指數(RSI)正向超賣區域下跌,反映出持續的拋售壓力。同時,移動平均收斂/發散指標(MACD)已跌破零軸,確認新一輪負動能正在加速。
比特幣正處於一個關鍵的技術轉折點。如果價格跌破上升趨勢支撐位,並伴隨看跌動能的確認,則極有可能進入回檔階段。只有價格迅速反彈並持續突破 92,500 美元的阻力位,才能推翻看跌預測,這表明支撐位測試成功。交易者應密切注意價格是否明確跌破趨勢線,以確認結構性突破。
阻力位:93,581.00,101,365.00
支撐位:89,915.00,85,635.00

歐元兌美元,4小時圖
歐元兌美元貨幣對已強勢突破近期下降通道,下跌近2%後,預示可能出現上漲反轉。這一結構性轉變表明拋售壓力可能已經耗盡,從而為回調反彈創造了條件。
目前的技術焦點是1.1730的阻力位,該位置與前一下跌趨勢的61.8%斐波那契回檔位重疊。若能持續突破此阻力位,將有力確認看漲反轉,並開啟通往更高阻力區域的道路。動量指標的改善也支撐了這一走勢,相對強弱指數(RSI)已從超賣水平反彈,移動平均收斂/發散指標(MACD)也形成了看漲的黃金交叉。
突破下降通道後,短期市場傾向由看跌轉為謹慎看漲。然而,這波上漲行情需要持續突破 1.1730 斐波那契阻力位才能確認,從而發出更持久的趨勢反轉訊號。在突破該阻力位之前,這波行情仍存在回調風險。如果價格回落至 1.1680 支撐位下方,則看漲情景將被否定,這表明突破為假突破,並可能恢復整體下跌趨勢。
阻力位:1.1730,1.1805
支撐位:1.1584,1.1500
以行業低點差和閃電般的執行速度交易外匯、指數、貴金屬等。
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