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市場走勢(2026年10月19日)

Published: 19 October 2026,03:08

Published: 19 October 2026,03:08

Chart The Market

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比特幣,H4:                                                     

儘管比特幣仍處於整體下跌趨勢中,但近期的價格走勢表明,隨著市場波動性縮小,拋售壓力可能正在緩解。儘管整體結構看跌,比特幣仍成功守住了關鍵的61.8%斐波那契回檔位79,770.00上方,引發了一次技術性反彈,顯示在這個關鍵支撐區域仍有買盤興趣。最新交易日也出現了一個看漲吞沒形態,為短期內可能出現的復甦提供了進一步的技術證據。

若價格能夠持續反彈並突破近期交易區間,將增強看漲傾向,並可能隨著動能的增強而為進一步上漲鋪平道路。然而,鑑於整體下跌趨勢,除非比特幣能夠建立更強勁的看漲價格結構,否則反彈仍易受新一輪拋售壓力的影響。一旦跌破 79,770.00,將使當前的看漲形態失效,市場面臨進一步下跌的風險,並強化當前的下跌趨勢。在這一關鍵支撐位被突破之前,斐波那契支撐位和看漲吞沒形態的組合表明,技術性反彈仍有持續的空間。

阻力位:84,480.00,86,500.00

支撐位:81,225.00,79,770.00

WTI原油,H4

WTI原油價格依然穩居上升趨勢,突破上升通道後,上漲動能進一步增強。最新的價格走勢顯示買盤壓力正在增強,但100美元的心理關卡是近期的重要阻力位,獲利回吐可能引發短暫的技術性回調。

儘管短期內可能出現盤整,但MACD和RSI指標均支撐著看漲勢頭,強化了進一步上漲的預期。若價格持續突破100美元,將進一步增強看漲前景,並可能為衝擊下一個關鍵阻力位104.50美元鋪路。反之,若未能突破這一心理關口,則可能引發短期回調,因為交易者會選擇獲利了結。然而,除非突破上升通道的趨勢逆轉,否則整體技術面仍偏向上行,104.50美元將成為下一個關鍵目標位。

阻力位:104.50,110.15

支撐位:97.80,93.15

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