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市場走勢(2026年8月13日)

Published: 13 August 2026,07:23

Published: 13 August 2026,07:23

Chart The Market

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BTC,H4:

比特幣此前跌破其上升通道這預示著看跌的結構性斷裂,顯示整體上升趨勢已失去動能。這次斷裂標誌著市場情緒的轉變,在經歷了長時間的上漲行情後,賣方開始掌控市場。

儘管比特幣隨後出現技術性反彈,但反彈缺乏力度,未能收復或突破先前的高點。66,000 美元未能突破這一關鍵阻力位顯示買盤壓力依然有限,這次反彈可能只是回調,而非新一輪上漲趨勢的開始。

從艾略特波浪理論的角度來看,近期的反彈可以被解讀為更廣泛下跌序列中的修正階段。如果這種解讀正確,隨著修正反彈勢頭減弱,比特幣可能正在為新一輪下跌做準備。

需要立即監測的支援等級是62,450 美元如果跌破該支撐位,將進一步確認看跌前景,並表明下一階段的下跌已經開始。此舉可能會加劇拋售壓力,並使比特幣在未來幾個交易日面臨更大的下行風險。

阻力位:65,740.00,69,080.00

支撐位:62,440.00,59,930.00

XAGUSD,H4

白銀價格已突破其上方持續一個月的下降趨勢線隨後出現強勁的技術性反彈,漲幅超過13%自突破以來,這一走勢顯著改善了該金屬的技術前景,並表明先前的看跌結構可能已被打破。

然而,最新的價格走勢表明,這波漲勢可能正在失去動力,白銀價格也呈現…雙頂圖案這種看跌反轉形態表明,該金屬在大幅上漲後可能會經歷一段技術性回檔期。

需要密切注意的直接支撐位在附近63.00美元回調至該區域將代表近期強勁上漲後的健康調整,並可能使市場在嘗試再次上漲之前鞏固其漲幅。

只要白銀能夠維持在一定水平附近。63.00美元總體而言,看漲結構預計將保持不變。成功守住這一價位可能為重新燃起買盤興趣奠定基礎,並有助於該金屬建立更永續的長期上漲趨勢。

阻力位:68.00,72.00

支撐位:63.00,59.15

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