

美元/加元,H4:
美元/加幣貨幣對已確認有顯著的看跌結構性轉變,果斷跌破1.3975的長期上升趨勢支撐位。此次跌破導致該貨幣對下探至兩個月低點1.3801,顯示其技術形態明顯惡化。
隨後的技術性反彈目前正面臨嚴峻考驗,其關鍵位置在近期下跌的50%斐波那契回檔位1.3885。此水平構成了一個重要的阻力區域。如果在此遭遇明確阻力,將強化新近形成的看跌傾向,並可能引發下跌趨勢的延續,下一個重要支撐位預計在1.3731附近。
動量指標持續反映強勁的拋售壓力。相對強弱指數(RSI)仍低於其中點,顯示缺乏強勁的多頭信心;移動平均收斂/發散指標(MACD)持續低點低於訊號線。這種形態表明,儘管短期內出現反彈,但潛在的空頭動能仍然強勁。
阻力位:1.3908,1.4115
支撐位:1.3733,1.3562

美元/日元,H4
美元/日圓貨幣對確認了積極的技術走勢,強勢突破了近期形成的盤整形態——該形態在其整體上升趨勢中構成了一個看漲旗形。此次突破伴隨著約1%的漲幅,預示著當前上漲動能可能得以延續,並結束了先前的回檔階段。
目前,該貨幣對在156.00支撐位面臨短期走勢的關鍵考驗。若能持續守住該支撐位,則表示突破已為進一步上漲奠定了新的基礎,且該貨幣對仍穩居短期上漲趨勢之中。反之,若跌破該支撐位,則表示突破缺乏力度,並可能導致對旗形形態上邊界的重新測試。
動量指標支持看漲的結構性轉變。相對強弱指數(RSI)已進入超買區域,反映出強勁的買盤壓力;同時,移動平均收斂/發散指標(MACD)已完成金叉,突破零軸。這一一致性表明,動量確實已重新轉向多頭。
阻力位:157.60、158.80
支撐位:156.00,154.35
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