

BTC,H4:
比特幣近期創下歷史新高,繼續在低點不斷走高的建設性格局中交易。然而,該加密貨幣目前正在測試其上行趨勢支撐線的關鍵技術水平——突破該支撐位將預示著近期動能可能出現逆轉。能否守住這一支撐位對於維持目前的看漲結構至關重要。
如果比特幣跌破趨勢線支撐位,下一個重要的技術水準將位於122,000美元的流動性區域附近。成功守住該區域將顯示更廣泛的看漲軌跡保持不變,而失敗則可能引發更深層的回調,跌向118,000美元至120,000美元的支撐位區間。
動量指標反映出看漲能量明顯減弱。相對強弱指數已回落至中線附近的中性區域,顯示買入和賣出壓力之間保持平衡。更值得注意的是,移動平均收斂散度指標(MOF)儘管仍位於零軸上方,但已形成看跌交叉(通常被稱為「死亡交叉」)。這表明,儘管長期趨勢可能仍為正,但近期動量明顯正在減弱。
阻力位:125,200.00, 127,140.00
支撐位:122,585.00、119,550.0

歐元兌美元,H4
歐元兌美元跌破長期盤整區間,預示看跌動能復甦,並抵消了先前突破下行通道所暗示的潛在看漲反轉。此次跌破顯示賣方已重新掌控局面,該貨幣對近期的看跌傾向得以重建。
突破通道後未能維持上漲勢頭,顯示貨幣對潛在疲軟,目前可能測試更低的支撐位。下一個重要的技術支撐出現在1.0650-1.0680區域附近,突破該區域可能會加速拋售壓力,使其跌向1.0600的心理關卡。
動量指標與不斷惡化的價格走勢一致。相對強弱指數在中性水準附近徘徊後已轉低,反映出拋售壓力不斷增加。同時,移動平均收斂散度指標未能突破零線,證實看漲信心不足,並支持進一步下跌的可能性。
阻力位:1.1810、1.1875
支撐位:1.1620、1.1540
以行業低點差和閃電般的執行速度交易外匯、指數、貴金屬等。
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