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Monthly Archives: July 2023

Fed Officials Emphasise Higher Interest Rate Needed

Written on July 11, 2023 at 6:40 am, by

Markets are now assessing the hawkish outlook against visibly cooling inflation Several Federal Reserve officials have expressed the view that interest rates need to be raised further this year in order to bring inflation back to the targeted rate of 2%. Despite this hawkish sentiment from the Fed, the market is inclined to believe thatContinue Reading

美联储官员强调继续提高利率

Written on July 11, 2023 at 6:40 am, by

市场须知 多位美联储官员表示,今年需要进一步加息,以使通胀率回到2%的目标水平。尽管美联储态度强硬,但市场倾向于认为最新经济数据表明美国通胀正在放缓,美联储货币紧缩周期已接近尾声。结果,美元价值和美国国债收益率一直在下跌,而油价则因美联储将摆脱高利率环境的预期而受到提振。与此同时,投资者热切期待明天(7 月 8 日)公布的美国消费者价格指数(CPI),以衡量美联储未来的货币政策决策。 市场看点 当前对 7 月 26 日美联储利率决定的加息押注: Source: CME Fedwatch Tool 0个基点 (11%) 对比 25 个基点 (89%)   市场概括 财经日历 市场走势 美元指数, H4 在美联储官员强调有必要进一步加息以应对通胀、同时暗示当前紧缩周期即将结束后,美元大幅下跌。美联储负责监管的副主席巴尔(Michael Barr)表示,美联储可能在今年两次加息后,未来的紧缩货币政策将会结束。然而,货币政策仍未确定,因此投资者必须持续关注未来的经济发展以获得更准确的交易信号。 美元指数目前正在测试支撑位。然而,MACD指标显示看跌势头减弱,而相对强弱指数在31,暗示该指数可能进入超卖区域。 阻力位:102.50,103.35 支撑位:101.95,101.05 黄金/美元,H1 黄金价格在关键的1930美元阻力位附近停滞不前,投资者等待关键的经济数据,特别是6月份的消费者价格指数(CPI)数据。对月度物价压力上升的预期加剧了对通胀的担忧,增加了美联储(Federal Reserve)在即将召开的7月货币政策会议上加息的可能性。92%的投资者预计会有这样的举动,市场波动是意料之中的,因此交易要谨慎。 黄金价格目前在阻力位附近持平。MACD指标显示看涨势头增强,而相对强弱指数在56,暗示该商品在成功突破后可能会走高,因为相对强弱指数保持在中线上方。 阻力位:1930.00,1950.00 支撑位:1910.00,1895.00 欧元/美元, H4 明天美国消费者物价指数 (CPI) 公布前,美元进一步走软,汇价自去年 5 月以来再次触及 1.100 点。尽管几位美联储官员口气强硬地敦促加息,以将通胀率降至央行支持的水平,但市场正在根据经济数据做出相应反应。 CPI已较峰值减半,而就业数据显示劳动力市场正在宽松,这导致市场认为美联储的货币紧缩周期已接近结束。投资者密切关注明天公布的CPI,以衡量美联储下一步的政策举措。 欧元/美元交投强劲,突破心理阻力位 1.100。 RSI 继续上升并接近超买区域,而 MACD 继续发散,两者都表明该货币对处于看涨势头。 阻力位:1.1027, 1.1088Continue Reading

Awaiting the RBNZ and BoC Interest Rate Decisions

Written on July 7, 2023 at 2:10 am, by

The Week Ahead: Week of 10 July (GMT+3) Tuesday, 11 July, 09:00 – EU German CPI (MoM) (Jun) The June preliminary release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in Germany increased by 0.3% compared to the previous month. This persistent rise indicates that the country still has a significant challenge ahead in combating inflation.  Wednesday,Continue Reading

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