
關鍵要點:
*由於美中貿易休戰有限以及聯準會鷹派立場,美國股市上漲動能減弱,進入盤整階段。
*儘管降息 25 個基點,鮑威爾反對在 12 月再次降息的立場抑制了投資者的熱情。
*雖然大多數「七大巨頭」都符合預期,但Meta在財報發布後下跌10%,影響了市場情緒。
市場概況:
美國股市交投清淡,走勢不明朗,主要股指在歷史高點附近盤整,上漲動能減弱。市場情緒受到多種因素的影響,包括美中貿易休戰範圍有限以及聯準會鷹派言論。
備受矚目的前總統川普與國家主席習近平會晤達成了務實的雙邊緊張關係緩和協議,其中包括關稅調整和稀土出口協議。然而,由於這些措施被視為為期一年的休戰協議,而非許多人所期待的全面協議,因此未能提供新的市場催化劑,令市場參與者感到失望。此外,儘管聯準會週三降息25個基點,但主席鮑威爾隨後的表態抑制了市場情緒。他表示12月是否會再次降息尚不確定,這與市場預期相悖,進一步抑制了買盤壓力。雪上加霜的是,「七大科技巨頭」的獲利表現也令人擔憂。雖然大多數知名企業的業績符合市場預期,但Meta Platforms Inc.的每股盈餘低於預期,導致其股價下跌超過10%。
儘管華爾街短期內可能面臨獲利回吐和技術性回調的不利影響,但潛在的風險偏好情緒預計將提供強勁支撐,並可能使阻力最小的路徑偏向走高。
技術分析

標普500指數,H4
標普500指數在觸及6928.87點的歷史新高後出現技術性回檔。該指數目前正在測試6875.00點附近的關鍵支撐區域——這一關口對於判斷近期疲軟是否會演變為更深層的回調至關重要。如果跌破該水平,則可能使該指數面臨進一步的下行壓力。
動量指標反映出看漲情緒有所減弱。相對強弱指數(RSI)已從超買區域回落,但仍高於中性水準50,顯示整體市場情緒仍溫和樂觀。同時,MACD長條圖已轉為負值,顯示短期看漲動能有所減弱。
需要從 6,875.00 支撐區強勁反彈,才能重新確立當前的上升趨勢,並恢復人們對標普 500 指數整體上漲趨勢的信心。
阻力位:6925.00,7000.00
支撑位:6860.00,6808.00
以行業低點差和閃電般的執行速度交易外匯、指數、貴金屬等。
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