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我們的交易APP與大多數智能設備系統兼容。現在就下載該應用，即刻享受在任意設備上隨時隨地開展交易的樂趣。
24 October 2024,09:27
Weekly Outlook
24 October 2024, 09:27
下周焦點: 10月28日當周（GMT+8）
美國私營部門的就業人數在九月份增長超過預期，主要受到建築、休閒和酒店行業招聘的推動，進一步證實了穩定的勞動市場。上個月私營部門增加了143,000個工作崗位，而八月份的數字經向上修正後增長了103,000個。這一增長的主要驅動力可能是美國經濟的持續韌性，特別是在醫療保健和酒店等行業，這些行業仍在從疫情相關的干擾中恢復。儘管整體勞動市場較為謹慎，但在建築、醫療保健和酒店等某些關鍵行業仍然存在對勞工的需求。目前的趨勢表明，勞動市場將繼續顯示出適度增長。
2024年第二季度美國GDP於9月26日公佈，增長率為3.0%，符合市場預期，並較第一季度的1.6%增長有所改善。這一增長主要受到強勁的消費支出、企業投資和庫存積累的推動。對這一增長作出貢獻的主要行業包括醫療保健、運輸服務以及像汽車這樣的耐用品。消費支出和企業投資的持續增強可能支持GDP的持續增長，但目前的利率風險和全球經濟不確定性可能會使增長速度減緩。
在2024年9月的會議上，日本央行（BoJ）將利率維持在0.25%，此前在今年內已進行了兩次加息。由於全球不確定性，包括美國的經濟狀況和日本緩慢的出口，BoJ對進一步收緊政策持謹慎態度。日本的通脹率仍在2.5%至3.0%的範圍內，但中央銀行在做出任何進一步調整之前，將等待評估之前加息的全面影響。BoJ可能會繼續採取耐心的策略，專注於工資增長和通脹穩定，以便在未來的決策中進行考量。
2024年8月的美國核心PCE價格指數（年增率）為2.7%，符合市場預期，並略高於上個月的2.6%。核心PCE通脹率輕微上升的原因可能是某些行業消費者需求的韌性，而更廣泛的通脹壓力已開始緩和。這反映了美聯儲在控制通脹與不抑制經濟增長之間所面臨的平衡。在這種背景下，未來的預期可能會偏向於通脹在此水平穩定或略微下降，假設美聯儲保持目前的貨幣政策立場而不進一步加息。
最新的美國非農就業報告顯示，2024年9月份新增254,000個工作崗位，超過預期的147,000個和之前的159,000個。對這一就業增長作出顯著貢獻的行業包括建築、零售和醫療保健部門，儘管製造業略有下降。然而，即將發布的報告可能顯示就業增長的放緩，因為上升的地緣政治緊張局勢和謹慎的企業投資可能會影響各行各業的招聘決策。投資者將關注ADP報告以獲取早期的洞見。
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