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我們的交易APP與大多數智能設備系統兼容。現在就下載該應用，即刻享受在任意設備上隨時隨地開展交易的樂趣。
15 November 2024,05:47
Weekly Outlook
15 November 2024, 05:47
下周焦點: 11月18當周（GMT+8）
在 10 月，歐元區年通脹率上升，根據歐洲統計局的初步數據，歐元區消費者物價指數（CPI）從 9 月的 1.7% 上升至 2%。服務、食品、酒類及煙草價格的上漲是此增幅的主要推動因素。歐洲中央銀行表示，價格預計將在未來幾個月持續上升，明年回到目標水平。因此，最終的通脹數據預計將反映出歐元區經濟的持續韌性。
2024 年 9 月英國消費者物價指數（CPI）顯示年增率為 1.7%，低於預期的 1.9%，並較上月的 2.2% 略有下降。這是自 2021 年 4 月以來的最低讀數，主要由於機票和汽油價格的下降，根據國家統計局的數據。在此數據公布後，投資者現在預計英格蘭銀行在年底前將進行兩次 0.25% 的降息，概率為 90%，高於先前約 80% 的預測。預計未來幾個月通脹將保持低迷。
2024 年第三季度德國國內生產總值（GDP）環比增長 0.2%，擺脫了第二季度的輕微萎縮 (-0.1%)，避免了技術性衰退。這一出乎意料的結果令分析師感到驚訝，因為他們原本預測經濟將再次略微下滑。增長主要來自國內消費的適度增加以及出口的穩定，儘管面臨工業訂單疲弱、高能源成本和上漲的原材料價格等挑戰。然而，經濟前景仍然保持謹慎，預計即將發布的數據將反映出增長放緩隨著德國經濟仍在適應這些持續的挑戰。
2024 年 10 月最新的標普全球美國製造業採購經理指數（PMI）修正為 48.5，較 9 月的 47.3 上升，但仍低於 50 的分界線，顯示製造業部門持續收縮。這是連續第四個月下降。影響因素包括持續的經濟不確定性，尤其是美國總統選舉臨近，以及颶風帶來的供應鏈中斷。正面消息是，通脹壓力有所減緩，原材料成本上漲速度為近一年來最慢。然而，預計即將發布的數據仍將保持在 50 以下的收縮區間，可能接近當前水準，因為政治不確定性和全球需求挑戰可能繼續阻礙復甦。
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