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我們的交易APP與大多數智能設備系統兼容。現在就下載該應用，即刻享受在任意設備上隨時隨地開展交易的樂趣。
20 September 2024,02:54
Weekly Outlook
20 September 2024, 02:54
下周焦點: 9月23日當周（GMT+8）
S&P全球美國製造業採購經理人指數（PMI）於2024年8月略微下修至47.9，低於初值的48。數據繼續顯示，今年以來製造業健康狀況的最顯著惡化。由於銷售持續下滑，生產量七個月來首次下降，並且有越來越多的報告顯示需求疲弱。此外，因產能過剩，該行業的就業人數再次減少。然而，企業和分析師預計，隨著總統選舉，需求將在本季度末回歸正常。
2024年8月6日，澳洲央行（RBA）決定將現金利率維持在4.35%不變。這一決定反映了央行對通脹的評估，儘管通脹從2022年的峰值有所回落，但仍高於目標。雖然通脹壓力已開始緩解，但速度放緩，核心通脹仍高於2-3%的目標範圍。澳洲央行調整了其通脹預測，將達成目標通脹的時間推遲至2026年，原因是供應方限制持續存在且總需求仍然強勁。鑒於當前的經濟狀況和澳洲央行的謹慎立場，短期內澳洲儲備銀行可能會繼續維持當前利率不變。
在8月，諮商會消費者信心指數上升至103.3，高於7月的101.9，且超過了預期的100.9。這是六個月以來的最高水平，顯示出消費者對經濟的樂觀情緒增強。信心的提升主要來自於更好的商業環境、適度的通脹以及穩定的經濟增長。鑒於當前的積極趨勢，未來數據預計將逐步改善，通脹在明年持續趨緩，儘管最近的美聯儲降息可能會導致市場情緒有所波動。
瑞士國家銀行（SNB）於2024年6月20日將其政策利率下調0.25%，降至1.25%。這一決定主要是因為中央銀行預計，儘管4月份通脹小幅上升，5月份達到1.4%，但預計今年剩餘時間內將降至約1.3%，因為通脹壓力減弱。SNB在新聞稿中指出，與上季度相比，核心通脹壓力有所減輕。透過降低政策利率，SNB旨在維持合適的貨幣條件。雖然一些分析師預測2024年稍晚可能會再次降息，但考慮到最近的調整，未來的決策不太可能帶來意外變化。
7月份，美國商務部公佈核心個人消費支出（PCE）價格指數同比上升2.6%，略低於市場預期的2.7%。這一適度增長反映了近期通脹趨勢持續走低，並與美聯儲在考慮放鬆其限制性貨幣政策之前的預期相符。鑒於當前的經濟形勢，預計未來數據將保持穩定，並可能在接下來幾個月逐步緩解。
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