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我們的交易APP與大多數智能設備系統兼容。現在就下載該應用，即刻享受在任意設備上隨時隨地開展交易的樂趣。
3 January 2025,03:04
Weekly Outlook
3 January 2025, 03:04
11月美國ISM非製造業PMI錄得52.1，低於市場預期的55.5。雖然該指數顯示美國服務業仍然保持增長，但增速較10月的56.0有所放緩。此次放緩主要歸因於新訂單、就業指數和商業活動等領域的下降，反映出在經濟不確定性下企業的謹慎態度。展望未來，分析師預測數據將略有回升，預計本季度末將適度加速至54.0。
2024年11月的ADP非農業就業人數變化報告顯示，美國私營部門就業增加了14.6萬個職位，低於市場預期的16.6萬以及前一個月的18.4萬增幅。這表明勞動市場有所降溫，企業因對經濟穩定性和未來需求的擔憂而對招聘持謹慎態度。專業及商業服務等行業的增長也有所放緩，進一步導致整體放緩的趨勢。預計即將公布的報告將繼續反映這一趨勢，短期內預計就業增長將保持溫和。
聯邦公開市場委員會（FOMC）於2024年11月26日發布了其2024年11月6日至7日會議的最新會議紀要。在此次會議中，委員會決定將聯邦基金利率目標區間下調0.25個百分點至4.5%至4.75%。委員會指出，目前經濟狀況穩健，2024年GDP增長預測因強勁的消費支出和勞動力市場指標而上調。2024年的通脹預測略有提高，但預計將逐步下降，個人消費支出（PCE）通脹預計到2026年將穩定在2%。委員會強調採取漸進的利率調整方式，並指出需要密切關注即將發布的數據及風險平衡。鑒於當前的經濟指標，預計委員會將繼續評估貨幣政策立場的適宜性，特別是在通脹持續存在和中性利率不確定性的情況下。
最新的美國非農就業報告顯示，11月新增了22.7萬個就業職位，顯示出強勁的復甦，遠高於經過修訂的10月數據36,000個職位，並且超出了市場預期的20.2萬個職位。此次反彈主要歸因於波音罷工等中斷事件的解決以及近期颶風造成的影響得到恢復，這些因素曾經抑制了就業增長。分析師預計，未來的報告將顯示穩健的就業增長，預計接下來幾個月將新增約20萬個職位。驅動此預測的關鍵因素包括穩定的經濟增長、強勁的消費支出，以及即將上任政府可能的政策變動。
以行業低點差和閃電般的執行速度交易外匯、指數、貴金屬等。
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