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我們的交易APP與大多數智能設備系統兼容。現在就下載該應用，即刻享受在任意設備上隨時隨地開展交易的樂趣。
18 October 2024,02:51
Weekly Outlook
18 October 2024, 02:51
下周焦點: 10月21日當周（GMT+8）
加拿大央行最近一次的利率決策會議中，將基準利率下調了25個基點，將政策利率降至4.25%。這是2024年連續第三次降息，回應經濟狀況惡化，如消費支出減少、企業投資縮減以及經濟增長停滯等因素。這些因素導致需求下降，加拿大央行正在通過逐步降息來應對。此次降息決策與加拿大央行的預測一致，該預測認為通脹將繼續放緩，通脹已經顯現出緩和跡象。這一策略反映了央行在控制通脹和維持經濟穩定之間尋求平衡的重點。因此，經濟學家普遍預期將會有進一步的降息。市場普遍預計，加拿大央行在即將到來的會議中可能會再降息25個基點除非通脹出現重大變化。
2024年9月，美國製造業採購經理人指數（PMI）錄得47.3，低於8月份的47.9。儘管高於市場預期的47.0，但該數據仍低於50，表明該行業持續收縮。此次下降主要受到需求疲軟和製造業持續挑戰的影響，包括新訂單減少、持續的供應鏈問題以及較低的生產活動。隨著全球不確定性可能對製造業造成壓力，未來數據預計將反映PMI持續疲軟，並徘徊在50以下的當前水平。
2024年9月，標普全球服務業PMI最終數值為55.2，略低於初步預估的55.4。這相比8月的55.7有所下降，但仍顯示出服務業的強勁擴張。增長主要受穩健的新業務推動，儘管企業因投入成本上升而對招聘保持謹慎，成本增速達到一年來最快水平。隨著投入成本持續上升以及業務信心減弱，這可能預示著未來的擴張速度將有所放緩。
2024年8月，美國耐用品訂單保持穩定，未顯示顯著變化，相較於7月份9.8%的大幅增長，這表現平穩。7月的巨大增幅是四年來的最高紀錄，主要受到運輸部門的大量訂單推動，包括飛機和汽車。儘管8月份增長勢頭放緩，但訂單保持穩定表明需求依然強勁。7月出人意料的強勁數據增強了市場對美國製造業能夠抵禦更廣泛經濟逆風的希望。然而，隨著全球增長放緩可能對企業投資產生影響，預計即將公佈的數據可能會出現輕微降溫。
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