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我們的交易APP與大多數智能設備系統兼容。現在就下載該應用，即刻享受在任意設備上隨時隨地開展交易的樂趣。
5 April 2024,06:46
Weekly Outlook
5 April 2024, 06:46
下周焦點: 4月8日當周（GMT+8）
新西蘭央行在上次會議中如預期地將基準利率維持在5.50%。儘管央行暫停利率沒有帶來驚喜，但較不鷹派的語言卻讓人意外，因為路透社調查的市場中有23%的人預測會出現加息。新西蘭央行行長奧爾一直在抵制降息預期，並堅稱加息的可能性仍在考慮之中。然而，在上次會議上，奧爾表示，對於當前的官方現金利率，各方一致認為已經足夠。因此，預計央行在可預見的未來將會維持當前利率不變。
在二月份，美國消費者價格增長率加速，數據顯示為3.2%，超越對核心通脹的預期3.1%。這些數據表明了持續存在的通貨膨脹壓力，這給美聯儲今年可能進行利率削減的時機帶來了複雜性。隨著通脹持續存在，美聯儲實現2%目標的路徑可能更加漫長，而經濟增長仍然過強，因此預計即將發布的數據將繼續反映經濟的強勁。
在三月份，加拿大央行連續第五次將利率維持在百分之五，行長蒂夫·麥克萊姆表示，現在考慮降息還為時過早。二月份，加拿大的通脹率降至百分之二點八。經濟學家預測，加拿大人可能會逐漸見證利率的降低，首先可能是從6月5日或今年晚些時候的加拿大央行利率公告開始，因此接下來的決定不大可能帶來任何意外的發展。
在二月份的會議上，美聯儲對迅速降低利率的前景顯示出了謹慎態度。會議記錄表明他們並不急於降低利息。美聯儲官員強調，在考慮向寬鬆政策轉變之前需要進一步證據，同時也指出未來加息的可能性很小。鑒於美國經濟持續強勁，預計美聯儲在即將發布的會議記錄中將保持類似的語氣。
歐洲央行（ECB）在三月份會議上選擇將基準利率維持在4.50%，這與市場觀察員的普遍預期一致。然而，歐元區的通脹率下降幅度超出了經濟學家的預期，逐漸加強了市場對歐洲央行未來幾個月內採取貨幣政策寬鬆的預期。一些歐洲央行成員建議，中央銀行可能會在六月份早些時候開始降息，但他們仍然密切關注美聯儲的行動。因此，市場預計利率將保持不變直至那時。
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