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我們的交易APP與大多數智能設備系統兼容。現在就下載該應用，即刻享受在任意設備上隨時隨地開展交易的樂趣。
4 October 2024,03:21
Weekly Outlook
4 October 2024, 03:21
下周焦點: 10月7日當周（GMT+8）
在8月份，紐西蘭儲備銀行（RBNZ）將官方現金利率（OCR）下調25個基點至5.25%，這是四年多來的首次降息。此決定主要由於價格壓力的減緩和通脹放緩，預計通脹將在近期內回落至該銀行1-3%的目標範圍內。紐西蘭的經濟增長已經放緩，失業率上升也促使該銀行做出降息決定。然而，鑒於該央行近期的降息，預計即將到來的決策將維持利率不變。儘管在年底前可能進一步降息，但這一決定將取決於數據，尤其是通脹數據。
2024年9月聯邦公開市場委員會（FOMC）會議紀要顯示，由於通脹仍是主要關注點，儘管已從先前高位有所降溫，美聯儲仍保持謹慎立場。關於經濟增長，聯儲官員承認美國經濟的韌性，但警告稱較高的利率可能會減緩房地產和商業投資等領域的經濟活動。鑑於委員會強烈致力於支持最大限度的就業並將通脹恢復至2%的目標，預計美聯儲將維持其鴿派立場。
8月份，美國核心消費者物價指數（CPI）按年增長3.2%，反映了通脹壓力，與市場預期一致。這一數字主要受到住房成本的推動。住房成本佔按年增長的70%以上，租金和業主等價租金分別大幅上漲了0.4%和0.5%。儘管能源價格，尤其是汽油價格在過去一年下降了10.3%，住房成本的上升仍然是核心CPI數據高企的主要推動力。預計即將發布的數據顯示，通脹將保持在高位，但也可能因供應鏈問題緩解和部分行業需求放緩而略有下降。
最新發布的美國核心生產者物價指數（PPI）數據顯示，8月份按年增長2.4%。儘管低於市場預期的2.5%，但仍高於之前的2.3%，反映了生產層面的持續通脹壓力。多個因素促成了這一數據，包括生產成本上升和供應鏈調整。預計下次發布的數據將繼續反映持續的通脹壓力，特別是如果勞動力和商品成本保持高位的話。
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